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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii0.47+2.34vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.07-0.38vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University-0.51+2.23vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley-0.22+0.82vs Predicted
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5University of Southern California-0.12-0.22vs Predicted
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6University of Washington-0.29-1.07vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego-1.41+0.14vs Predicted
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8Arizona State University-1.60-0.69vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.91-3.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.34University of Hawaii0.4713.9%1st Place
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1.62Stanford University2.0759.1%1st Place
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5.23Western Washington University-0.514.5%1st Place
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4.82University of California at Berkeley-0.225.8%1st Place
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4.78University of Southern California-0.125.8%1st Place
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4.93University of Washington-0.295.1%1st Place
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7.14University of California at San Diego-1.411.8%1st Place
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7.31Arizona State University-1.601.2%1st Place
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5.82Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.912.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malia Johnson | 13.9% | 21.6% | 23.3% | 17.2% | 12.4% | 7.0% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Ellie Harned | 59.1% | 26.5% | 9.6% | 3.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anna Morrow | 4.5% | 8.6% | 11.1% | 13.6% | 14.8% | 15.2% | 15.2% | 11.3% | 5.8% |
| Alyssa Cunningham Barkus | 5.8% | 10.1% | 13.5% | 15.2% | 16.3% | 15.5% | 12.8% | 7.2% | 3.6% |
| Lara Granucci | 5.8% | 10.3% | 14.5% | 14.3% | 16.9% | 14.7% | 12.5% | 8.1% | 2.9% |
| Stephanie Seto | 5.1% | 10.1% | 12.8% | 14.8% | 15.7% | 14.7% | 13.7% | 10.0% | 3.1% |
| Cassie Halaszynski | 1.8% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 12.2% | 23.0% | 35.3% |
| Erin Welker | 1.2% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 8.4% | 12.7% | 21.6% | 39.5% |
| Claire Wiley | 2.9% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 11.2% | 11.4% | 15.0% | 17.8% | 17.6% | 9.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.