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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy4.09+8.68vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston4.76+4.98vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.42+5.39vs Predicted
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4University of Miami3.99+5.80vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College3.78+5.61vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.58+5.59vs Predicted
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7Boston College4.89-0.69vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University4.78-1.31vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland4.83-2.55vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.63-2.44vs Predicted
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11Brown University4.49-2.99vs Predicted
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12Tufts University3.70-0.67vs Predicted
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13Harvard University4.52-5.35vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University3.92-4.12vs Predicted
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15Washington College4.25-6.24vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont3.62-4.51vs Predicted
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17Princeton University2.30-1.37vs Predicted
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18Yale University2.77-3.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.68U. S. Naval Academy4.090.0%1st Place
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6.98College of Charleston4.760.1%1st Place
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8.39Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.420.1%1st Place
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9.8University of Miami3.990.0%1st Place
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10.61Connecticut College3.780.0%1st Place
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11.59Dartmouth College3.580.0%1st Place
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6.31Boston College4.890.1%1st Place
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6.69Roger Williams University4.780.1%1st Place
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6.45St. Mary's College of Maryland4.830.1%1st Place
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7.56U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.630.1%1st Place
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8.01Brown University4.490.1%1st Place
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11.33Tufts University3.700.0%1st Place
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7.65Harvard University4.520.1%1st Place
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9.88Salve Regina University3.920.0%1st Place
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8.76Washington College4.250.1%1st Place
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11.49University of Vermont3.620.0%1st Place
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15.63Princeton University2.300.0%1st Place
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14.19Yale University2.770.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clark Hayes | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 1.3% |
| Juan Maegli | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| John Darby | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Nicholas Voss | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 4.1% | 2.5% |
| Kyle Fast | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 7.4% | 3.5% |
| Edward Glackin | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 5.6% |
| Tyler Sinks | 9.7% | 11.4% | 10.3% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Cy Thompson | 9.9% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Michael Menninger | 10.2% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Ingham | 8.0% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Fred Strammer | 7.4% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Massimo Soriano | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 11.8% | 10.0% | 4.6% |
| Alan Palmer | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.6% |
| Peter Pellegrini | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 2.5% |
| Joseph Blouin | 6.2% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 0.7% |
| Coleman Bowen | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 5.9% |
| Mary Gamber | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 17.2% | 48.1% |
| Andrew Kurzrok | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 7.4% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 19.4% | 23.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.