Race 6A

maisa-women-fall

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

61.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Jennifer Borshoff 10.1% 10.6% 12.1% 12.5% 10.7% 10.1% 11.5% 10.2% 5.9% 3.5% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1%
Arielle DeLisser 9.6% 13.4% 11.5% 12.9% 12.8% 10.7% 9.4% 9.1% 5.6% 3.3% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0%
Mary Hall 25.7% 21.1% 16.7% 12.3% 9.4% 7.7% 3.8% 2.3% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Andrea Luna 11.6% 10.5% 13.9% 12.3% 12.5% 10.5% 10.9% 8.2% 5.4% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1%
Eleanor Conroy 4.6% 4.2% 4.5% 5.6% 6.7% 8.5% 8.4% 11.8% 12.8% 15.0% 11.2% 5.9% 0.8%
Maria Sinagra 7.8% 7.0% 9.8% 10.6% 9.6% 11.2% 11.7% 10.6% 10.5% 6.4% 4.2% 0.6% 0.0%
Amanda Taselaar 10.0% 10.5% 11.4% 7.8% 10.6% 11.9% 12.2% 9.3% 8.0% 5.2% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1%
Mary Margaret Meehan 1.9% 2.9% 3.7% 2.7% 4.1% 4.2% 6.6% 9.1% 12.8% 17.4% 18.3% 13.9% 2.4%
Catherine Shanahan 12.4% 13.7% 10.7% 12.9% 12.1% 11.0% 8.6% 7.6% 6.5% 3.2% 1.0% 0.3% 0.0%
Johanna Monro 4.2% 3.4% 4.1% 5.7% 5.1% 7.9% 8.2% 11.1% 12.4% 17.1% 13.2% 5.7% 1.9%
Linor Berezin 1.4% 0.9% 1.1% 2.9% 3.5% 4.0% 4.9% 5.9% 10.3% 14.6% 21.9% 20.9% 7.7%
Ellen Hubbard 0.4% 1.4% 0.5% 1.6% 2.1% 1.7% 2.9% 3.9% 6.7% 8.2% 17.7% 35.2% 17.7%
Sydney Mandelbaum 0.3% 0.4% 0.0% 0.2% 0.8% 0.6% 0.9% 0.9% 2.5% 2.8% 5.4% 16.0% 69.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.