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📊 Prediction Accuracy
76.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University2.97+3.84vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.71+3.51vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93+1.92vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.03+0.67vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy3.74-1.90vs Predicted
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6Cornell University2.85-0.98vs Predicted
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7George Washington University2.51-1.13vs Predicted
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8Columbia University1.30+0.80vs Predicted
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9Fordham University1.72-1.03vs Predicted
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10Washington College1.81-2.37vs Predicted
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11Queen's University0.87-1.32vs Predicted
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12University of Virginia0.42-1.27vs Predicted
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13Princeton University-0.81-0.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.84Old Dominion University2.970.1%1st Place
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5.51Georgetown University2.710.1%1st Place
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4.92Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.1%1st Place
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4.67St. Mary's College of Maryland3.030.1%1st Place
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3.1U. S. Naval Academy3.740.3%1st Place
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5.02Cornell University2.850.1%1st Place
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5.87George Washington University2.510.1%1st Place
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8.8Columbia University1.300.0%1st Place
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7.97Fordham University1.720.0%1st Place
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7.63Washington College1.810.0%1st Place
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9.68Queen's University0.870.0%1st Place
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10.73University of Virginia0.420.0%1st Place
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12.26Princeton University-0.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrea Luna | 11.6% | 11.1% | 13.9% | 12.3% | 11.0% | 11.4% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Amanda Taselaar | 8.1% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 11.7% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 10.3% | 11.3% | 12.8% | 13.0% | 12.3% | 10.7% | 11.3% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Catherine Shanahan | 12.5% | 11.4% | 13.5% | 13.6% | 11.5% | 12.3% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Mary Hall | 26.7% | 21.3% | 15.6% | 13.6% | 9.4% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 10.1% | 12.8% | 11.3% | 11.6% | 11.1% | 12.6% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Maria Sinagra | 9.3% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 11.6% | 11.6% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Mary Margaret Meehan | 1.9% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 12.3% | 16.6% | 18.1% | 14.5% | 2.3% |
| Johanna Monro | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 12.6% | 13.4% | 16.2% | 13.8% | 6.7% | 1.4% |
| Eleanor Conroy | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 10.4% | 11.9% | 11.7% | 15.5% | 12.0% | 4.8% | 1.7% |
| Linor Berezin | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 11.2% | 15.3% | 21.3% | 20.1% | 7.7% |
| Ellen Hubbard | 0.3% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 17.5% | 35.5% | 17.3% |
| Sydney Mandelbaum | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 6.0% | 15.9% | 69.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.