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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Cruz-0.45+4.28vs Predicted
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2University of California at San Diego0.68+1.52vs Predicted
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3California Poly Maritime Academy1.62-0.83vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University0.64-0.55vs Predicted
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5University of Washington-0.36-0.02vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles-0.23-1.16vs Predicted
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7University of Oregon-1.88+0.47vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University-0.53-2.71vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley-2.41-1.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.28University of California at Santa Cruz-0.455.8%1st Place
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3.52University of California at San Diego0.6814.6%1st Place
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2.17California Poly Maritime Academy1.6240.6%1st Place
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3.45Western Washington University0.6416.9%1st Place
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4.98University of Washington-0.366.6%1st Place
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4.84University of California at Los Angeles-0.237.5%1st Place
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7.47University of Oregon-1.881.5%1st Place
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5.29Western Washington University-0.535.8%1st Place
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8.0University of California at Berkeley-2.410.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burleigh Charlton | 5.8% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 11.6% | 15.3% | 17.7% | 19.3% | 11.2% | 3.0% |
| Noah Barton | 14.6% | 18.4% | 20.2% | 17.0% | 14.2% | 9.8% | 4.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Clay Myers | 40.6% | 26.7% | 17.4% | 9.3% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Nolasco | 16.9% | 19.1% | 18.4% | 17.1% | 13.0% | 9.0% | 4.8% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Jaxon Gordon | 6.6% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 13.8% | 16.4% | 16.4% | 18.2% | 8.4% | 1.5% |
| Jacob Matiyevsky | 7.5% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 14.3% | 14.1% | 17.2% | 16.2% | 8.0% | 1.7% |
| Katy Priest | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 10.7% | 34.5% | 34.1% |
| Claire Jablonski | 5.8% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 11.8% | 15.7% | 16.7% | 17.4% | 13.5% | 3.0% |
| John Cornet | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 8.1% | 21.6% | 56.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.