Race 8A

maisa-women-fall

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

30.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Mary Hall 25.8% 21.0% 15.6% 13.4% 9.6% 6.0% 4.4% 2.4% 1.3% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Amanda Taselaar 8.9% 10.1% 10.9% 9.6% 10.7% 10.5% 13.4% 10.1% 7.9% 5.1% 2.2% 0.4% 0.2%
Andrea Luna 10.6% 12.7% 13.0% 11.3% 12.3% 12.1% 10.8% 7.8% 5.5% 2.7% 1.1% 0.0% 0.1%
Johanna Monro 2.9% 3.4% 4.4% 5.6% 5.7% 6.2% 7.5% 12.0% 15.3% 16.4% 13.6% 5.0% 2.0%
Mary Margaret Meehan 3.0% 2.6% 2.3% 3.2% 4.8% 4.9% 6.3% 8.7% 12.0% 17.1% 19.7% 12.0% 3.4%
Jennifer Borshoff 11.1% 10.1% 13.1% 10.3% 13.3% 11.3% 8.8% 9.0% 6.7% 4.6% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
Arielle DeLisser 11.4% 12.8% 11.3% 12.8% 12.1% 9.5% 9.8% 9.7% 6.2% 2.7% 1.2% 0.5% 0.0%
Catherine Shanahan 11.8% 14.2% 11.4% 14.3% 10.5% 13.2% 11.2% 5.4% 4.6% 2.1% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Ellen Hubbard 1.0% 0.8% 1.8% 1.5% 1.9% 2.3% 2.4% 4.8% 5.2% 11.1% 16.3% 34.9% 16.0%
Maria Sinagra 8.4% 7.2% 9.1% 9.2% 10.3% 11.8% 10.8% 11.0% 10.4% 6.5% 4.0% 1.3% 0.0%
Eleanor Conroy 3.5% 3.2% 5.8% 6.9% 6.1% 7.6% 10.1% 11.7% 14.6% 14.2% 10.5% 4.9% 0.9%
Linor Berezin 1.2% 1.5% 1.2% 1.8% 2.6% 4.0% 3.9% 5.9% 9.0% 13.4% 22.6% 25.1% 7.8%
Sydney Mandelbaum 0.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.6% 0.6% 1.5% 1.3% 3.6% 6.3% 15.4% 69.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.