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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy1.62+1.24vs Predicted
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2University of California at San Diego0.68+1.68vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Cruz-0.45+2.65vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University0.64-0.34vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles-0.23+0.20vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley-0.63-0.17vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University-0.53-1.34vs Predicted
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8University of Washington-0.36-2.64vs Predicted
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9University of Oregon-1.88-1.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.24California Poly Maritime Academy1.6239.7%1st Place
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3.68University of California at San Diego0.6815.8%1st Place
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5.65University of California at Santa Cruz-0.455.3%1st Place
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3.66Western Washington University0.6415.2%1st Place
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5.2University of California at Los Angeles-0.236.2%1st Place
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5.83University of California at Berkeley-0.634.5%1st Place
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5.66Western Washington University-0.535.2%1st Place
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5.36University of Washington-0.366.8%1st Place
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7.74University of Oregon-1.881.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clay Myers | 39.7% | 25.9% | 17.1% | 9.7% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Noah Barton | 15.8% | 17.1% | 18.0% | 15.6% | 14.5% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 3.0% | 0.6% |
| Burleigh Charlton | 5.3% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 14.2% | 16.4% | 17.1% | 9.2% |
| Tyler Nolasco | 15.2% | 17.8% | 19.0% | 15.7% | 13.7% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 3.4% | 0.5% |
| Jacob Matiyevsky | 6.2% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 13.7% | 12.5% | 16.0% | 14.5% | 12.7% | 5.5% |
| Max Lawall | 4.5% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 13.4% | 16.1% | 18.7% | 11.3% |
| Claire Jablonski | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 10.7% | 13.4% | 16.0% | 14.1% | 16.8% | 9.5% |
| Jaxon Gordon | 6.8% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 13.7% | 15.2% | 16.7% | 14.4% | 5.8% |
| Katy Priest | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 13.9% | 57.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.