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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University2.97+3.82vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy3.74+1.13vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.71+2.49vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93+0.92vs Predicted
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5Columbia University1.30+3.77vs Predicted
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6Cornell University2.85-0.97vs Predicted
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7Fordham University1.72+0.79vs Predicted
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8George Washington University2.51-2.13vs Predicted
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9Queen's University0.87+0.77vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland3.03-5.32vs Predicted
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11Princeton University-0.81+1.21vs Predicted
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12University of Virginia0.42-1.29vs Predicted
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13Washington College1.81-5.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.82Old Dominion University2.970.1%1st Place
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3.13U. S. Naval Academy3.740.3%1st Place
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5.49Georgetown University2.710.1%1st Place
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4.92Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.1%1st Place
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8.77Columbia University1.300.0%1st Place
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5.03Cornell University2.850.1%1st Place
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7.79Fordham University1.720.0%1st Place
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5.87George Washington University2.510.1%1st Place
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9.77Queen's University0.870.0%1st Place
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4.68St. Mary's College of Maryland3.030.1%1st Place
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12.21Princeton University-0.810.0%1st Place
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10.71University of Virginia0.420.0%1st Place
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7.79Washington College1.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrea Luna | 12.2% | 12.0% | 11.1% | 12.3% | 12.0% | 11.5% | 11.6% | 8.6% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Mary Hall | 26.3% | 20.8% | 16.2% | 13.9% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Taselaar | 7.9% | 9.3% | 12.1% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 11.9% | 11.1% | 11.6% | 8.2% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 10.9% | 10.8% | 12.9% | 11.3% | 14.1% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Mary Margaret Meehan | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 12.5% | 17.0% | 18.2% | 13.1% | 3.2% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 10.1% | 12.3% | 11.0% | 12.7% | 11.4% | 11.0% | 11.0% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Johanna Monro | 4.3% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 11.6% | 14.8% | 14.3% | 11.8% | 8.0% | 1.0% |
| Maria Sinagra | 7.5% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 11.9% | 12.4% | 12.3% | 10.1% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Linor Berezin | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 8.6% | 15.1% | 22.7% | 22.2% | 8.4% |
| Catherine Shanahan | 13.7% | 12.5% | 13.4% | 12.3% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sydney Mandelbaum | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 8.1% | 16.7% | 66.1% |
| Ellen Hubbard | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 9.2% | 18.4% | 31.3% | 19.8% |
| Eleanor Conroy | 2.3% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 11.0% | 14.4% | 16.3% | 11.3% | 5.9% | 1.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.