Race 10A

maisa-women-fall

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Maria Sinagra 6.5% 8.3% 9.2% 10.7% 9.4% 10.5% 12.7% 12.4% 8.3% 7.6% 3.4% 1.0% 0.0%
Arielle DeLisser 10.1% 13.0% 11.3% 13.2% 13.7% 10.1% 9.8% 8.1% 6.1% 3.3% 0.9% 0.4% 0.0%
Mary Margaret Meehan 1.8% 1.8% 2.4% 2.9% 3.5% 5.7% 6.5% 10.4% 12.5% 15.3% 19.7% 14.5% 3.0%
Linor Berezin 1.1% 1.7% 1.6% 1.6% 2.9% 5.2% 3.8% 5.9% 8.0% 15.7% 20.5% 25.0% 7.0%
Andrea Luna 12.7% 13.1% 12.0% 11.7% 12.1% 10.2% 11.0% 7.7% 5.7% 2.5% 1.2% 0.0% 0.1%
Johanna Monro 3.1% 4.5% 4.5% 4.1% 5.7% 7.3% 10.4% 10.7% 13.8% 15.2% 12.6% 7.2% 0.9%
Amanda Taselaar 10.8% 9.4% 10.1% 11.9% 9.2% 11.7% 10.3% 10.7% 8.9% 4.1% 2.5% 0.4% 0.0%
Mary Hall 25.8% 21.1% 16.6% 13.2% 9.2% 6.2% 4.4% 1.8% 1.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Jennifer Borshoff 11.5% 8.6% 12.6% 10.6% 11.6% 11.8% 10.8% 8.9% 7.2% 4.4% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2%
Ellen Hubbard 0.4% 1.3% 1.6% 1.6% 2.2% 2.3% 2.0% 4.8% 5.4% 10.7% 19.2% 31.5% 17.0%
Catherine Shanahan 12.5% 13.5% 13.2% 13.7% 12.5% 11.5% 8.3% 6.9% 4.6% 2.4% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0%
Eleanor Conroy 3.4% 3.5% 4.6% 4.7% 7.5% 6.6% 9.2% 10.6% 16.2% 15.7% 11.8% 5.2% 1.0%
Sydney Mandelbaum 0.3% 0.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.5% 0.9% 0.8% 1.1% 2.1% 2.8% 5.9% 14.2% 70.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.