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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy1.62+1.20vs Predicted
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2University of California at San Diego0.68+1.54vs Predicted
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3University of Washington-0.56+2.32vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Cruz-0.45+1.39vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles-0.23-0.01vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University0.03-1.59vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University0.64-3.41vs Predicted
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8University of Oregon-1.88-0.47vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley-2.41-0.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.2California Poly Maritime Academy1.6239.8%1st Place
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3.54University of California at San Diego0.6814.9%1st Place
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5.32University of Washington-0.565.7%1st Place
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5.39University of California at Santa Cruz-0.455.5%1st Place
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4.99University of California at Los Angeles-0.237.2%1st Place
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4.41Western Washington University0.039.7%1st Place
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3.59Western Washington University0.6415.1%1st Place
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7.53University of Oregon-1.881.3%1st Place
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8.03University of California at Berkeley-2.410.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clay Myers | 39.8% | 26.7% | 16.8% | 10.1% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Barton | 14.9% | 19.4% | 18.5% | 17.1% | 13.7% | 8.8% | 5.5% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Lauren McClintock | 5.7% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 15.2% | 16.9% | 19.1% | 12.8% | 3.0% |
| Burleigh Charlton | 5.5% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 11.1% | 13.6% | 18.1% | 21.9% | 11.9% | 2.9% |
| Jacob Matiyevsky | 7.2% | 8.5% | 11.5% | 11.9% | 14.2% | 18.4% | 16.8% | 9.5% | 2.1% |
| Caroline Hurley | 9.7% | 11.8% | 12.8% | 16.2% | 16.9% | 15.6% | 11.3% | 4.9% | 0.9% |
| Tyler Nolasco | 15.1% | 17.4% | 18.2% | 17.8% | 14.6% | 9.3% | 5.9% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Katy Priest | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 10.8% | 36.1% | 33.2% |
| John Cornet | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 8.2% | 21.6% | 57.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.