Race 2B

maisa-women-fall

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

69.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Mary Kate Mezzetti 13.3% 13.7% 12.6% 13.3% 11.4% 12.2% 9.0% 7.6% 3.7% 1.9% 0.8% 0.5% 0.0%
Carolyn Smith 20.5% 14.7% 15.7% 14.2% 10.2% 10.2% 6.7% 4.3% 2.2% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Brooke Lyon 9.1% 10.3% 10.5% 12.0% 12.5% 11.6% 13.0% 8.5% 6.2% 4.5% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0%
Rachel Austin 9.1% 10.2% 10.6% 11.0% 12.5% 10.6% 10.8% 10.8% 8.0% 4.6% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
Joy MacDonald 1.2% 2.4% 1.8% 2.3% 1.8% 3.4% 3.6% 6.7% 8.8% 13.8% 22.1% 23.9% 8.2%
Marissa Lihan 16.1% 15.7% 14.8% 12.4% 12.2% 9.4% 8.5% 5.0% 3.8% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Quinn Howes 7.3% 7.1% 9.1% 7.2% 8.0% 9.0% 13.3% 13.1% 11.6% 8.2% 4.8% 1.2% 0.1%
Hannah Schmidt 4.0% 5.0% 4.1% 5.8% 5.8% 7.9% 10.0% 13.6% 15.2% 14.9% 8.3% 5.0% 0.4%
Madeleine Sims 4.2% 3.5% 4.5% 4.8% 6.4% 7.2% 7.2% 12.7% 16.2% 14.9% 11.8% 5.6% 1.0%
Eliza Schuett 1.2% 1.5% 2.1% 2.5% 2.6% 2.5% 4.7% 5.3% 9.9% 15.9% 21.1% 21.8% 8.9%
Hannah McNomee 12.8% 14.6% 12.9% 12.2% 13.0% 12.3% 8.7% 5.1% 4.4% 2.9% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Laura Maranto 1.0% 0.8% 1.2% 2.2% 3.1% 3.4% 3.4% 5.8% 8.2% 13.2% 20.9% 27.2% 9.6%
Briana Christophers 0.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.1% 0.5% 0.3% 1.1% 1.5% 1.8% 2.8% 5.5% 13.9% 71.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.