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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy1.62+1.29vs Predicted
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2University of California at San Diego0.68+1.87vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University0.64+0.69vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Cruz-0.45+1.69vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley-0.63+0.91vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University0.03-1.30vs Predicted
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7University of Washington-0.56-1.26vs Predicted
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8University of Oregon-1.88-0.10vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles-0.23-3.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.29California Poly Maritime Academy1.6237.9%1st Place
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3.87University of California at San Diego0.6813.8%1st Place
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3.69Western Washington University0.6415.2%1st Place
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5.69University of California at Santa Cruz-0.455.1%1st Place
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5.91University of California at Berkeley-0.634.9%1st Place
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4.7Western Washington University0.039.0%1st Place
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5.74University of Washington-0.565.5%1st Place
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7.9University of Oregon-1.881.2%1st Place
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5.21University of California at Los Angeles-0.237.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clay Myers | 37.9% | 26.7% | 17.2% | 10.2% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Noah Barton | 13.8% | 15.8% | 17.0% | 15.6% | 13.8% | 13.4% | 7.0% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
| Tyler Nolasco | 15.2% | 17.9% | 17.0% | 16.3% | 14.2% | 9.5% | 6.2% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| Burleigh Charlton | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 11.2% | 11.9% | 14.5% | 16.2% | 16.9% | 9.8% |
| Max Lawall | 4.9% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 12.9% | 17.2% | 21.6% | 10.4% |
| Caroline Hurley | 9.0% | 10.7% | 13.8% | 12.3% | 15.2% | 15.1% | 12.1% | 8.8% | 3.0% |
| Lauren McClintock | 5.5% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 10.8% | 12.5% | 12.3% | 17.0% | 18.8% | 9.3% |
| Katy Priest | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 8.5% | 13.6% | 61.1% |
| Jacob Matiyevsky | 7.4% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 12.3% | 14.1% | 14.6% | 14.9% | 14.5% | 4.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.