Race 5B

maisa-women-fall

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Carolyn Smith 18.4% 18.0% 12.9% 15.6% 11.7% 9.0% 7.2% 4.3% 1.9% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Rachel Austin 10.0% 9.6% 12.7% 7.9% 13.6% 10.7% 11.8% 10.3% 7.4% 3.8% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
Mary Kate Mezzetti 12.5% 14.5% 13.8% 11.4% 12.1% 12.1% 10.5% 7.3% 3.3% 1.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Quinn Howes 6.0% 6.4% 7.3% 9.2% 9.5% 11.5% 10.7% 12.0% 12.9% 9.1% 4.0% 1.2% 0.2%
Hannah Schmidt 4.9% 4.0% 5.1% 7.1% 6.8% 8.3% 10.3% 11.6% 14.3% 14.3% 9.9% 3.2% 0.2%
Brooke Lyon 10.5% 10.6% 11.8% 12.0% 12.2% 11.0% 10.4% 9.2% 6.9% 3.7% 1.3% 0.4% 0.0%
Hannah McNomee 13.5% 13.6% 11.7% 13.2% 11.8% 10.4% 9.5% 8.2% 5.3% 1.9% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0%
Madeleine Sims 3.1% 5.0% 4.6% 5.0% 6.1% 7.9% 9.6% 12.4% 17.0% 14.5% 9.2% 5.4% 0.2%
Joy MacDonald 1.4% 1.9% 1.8% 1.7% 2.9% 3.2% 3.9% 5.2% 8.2% 16.7% 23.0% 22.2% 7.9%
Marissa Lihan 17.5% 14.4% 16.3% 12.5% 9.3% 9.9% 8.3% 6.3% 3.3% 1.5% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
Madelaine Harrison 0.6% 0.9% 0.6% 1.0% 1.6% 2.4% 3.0% 4.8% 8.3% 11.9% 20.5% 29.2% 15.2%
Eliza Schuett 1.3% 0.7% 1.2% 3.2% 1.9% 3.2% 4.1% 7.3% 9.1% 16.4% 21.5% 22.3% 7.8%
Briana Christophers 0.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.2% 0.5% 0.4% 0.7% 1.1% 2.1% 3.6% 6.8% 15.3% 68.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.