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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy1.62+1.16vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Cruz-0.45+3.43vs Predicted
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3University of California at San Diego0.68+0.55vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University0.64-0.44vs Predicted
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5University of Washington-0.56+0.34vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University0.03-1.57vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles-0.23-2.02vs Predicted
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8University of Oregon-1.88-0.46vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley-2.41-0.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.16California Poly Maritime Academy1.6238.6%1st Place
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5.43University of California at Santa Cruz-0.454.8%1st Place
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3.55University of California at San Diego0.6816.6%1st Place
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3.56Western Washington University0.6415.2%1st Place
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5.34University of Washington-0.565.8%1st Place
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4.43Western Washington University0.038.8%1st Place
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4.98University of California at Los Angeles-0.237.5%1st Place
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7.54University of Oregon-1.881.3%1st Place
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8.01University of California at Berkeley-2.411.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clay Myers | 38.6% | 28.9% | 17.5% | 9.6% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Burleigh Charlton | 4.8% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 11.1% | 15.0% | 17.0% | 21.2% | 13.1% | 2.8% |
| Noah Barton | 16.6% | 16.8% | 18.9% | 16.7% | 14.2% | 9.4% | 5.5% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Tyler Nolasco | 15.2% | 18.7% | 18.1% | 17.3% | 13.5% | 9.7% | 5.9% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Lauren McClintock | 5.8% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 11.8% | 14.4% | 17.3% | 19.4% | 12.0% | 3.7% |
| Caroline Hurley | 8.8% | 11.9% | 14.4% | 14.6% | 16.9% | 15.7% | 11.7% | 5.4% | 0.5% |
| Jacob Matiyevsky | 7.5% | 6.8% | 10.8% | 13.9% | 15.3% | 18.9% | 16.6% | 8.6% | 1.6% |
| Katy Priest | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 12.2% | 33.4% | 35.1% |
| John Cornet | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 7.0% | 24.2% | 56.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.