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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University1.41+1.09vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii0.47+1.35vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California-0.12+1.74vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University-0.51+1.09vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley-0.22-0.23vs Predicted
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6University of Washington-0.29-1.27vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego-1.41+0.06vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.91-2.16vs Predicted
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9Arizona State University-1.60-1.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.09Stanford University1.4143.8%1st Place
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3.35University of Hawaii0.4719.0%1st Place
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4.74University of Southern California-0.127.9%1st Place
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5.09Western Washington University-0.516.1%1st Place
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4.77University of California at Berkeley-0.227.5%1st Place
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4.73University of Washington-0.296.9%1st Place
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7.06University of California at San Diego-1.411.8%1st Place
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5.84Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.915.0%1st Place
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7.33Arizona State University-1.602.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kit Harned | 43.8% | 25.9% | 16.1% | 8.9% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Malia Johnson | 19.0% | 20.1% | 17.8% | 16.6% | 11.9% | 8.2% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Lara Granucci | 7.9% | 12.0% | 11.8% | 13.1% | 15.2% | 15.8% | 12.7% | 8.2% | 3.1% |
| Anna Morrow | 6.1% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 12.3% | 14.8% | 14.8% | 14.3% | 11.2% | 5.2% |
| Alyssa Cunningham Barkus | 7.5% | 9.8% | 13.6% | 13.7% | 16.7% | 14.8% | 12.4% | 8.0% | 3.5% |
| Stephanie Seto | 6.9% | 10.7% | 14.2% | 16.1% | 13.2% | 15.0% | 12.8% | 8.0% | 3.2% |
| Cassie Halaszynski | 1.8% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 14.1% | 23.1% | 32.1% |
| Claire Wiley | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 12.2% | 13.0% | 18.1% | 17.5% | 11.2% |
| Erin Welker | 2.0% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 21.7% | 41.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.