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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy1.62+1.17vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Cruz-0.45+3.38vs Predicted
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3University of California at San Diego0.68+0.55vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University0.64-0.44vs Predicted
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5University of Washington-0.56+0.35vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles-0.23-0.98vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University0.03-2.52vs Predicted
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8University of Oregon-1.88-0.52vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley-2.41-1.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.17California Poly Maritime Academy1.6241.6%1st Place
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5.38University of California at Santa Cruz-0.455.6%1st Place
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3.55University of California at San Diego0.6815.6%1st Place
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3.56Western Washington University0.6415.2%1st Place
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5.35University of Washington-0.565.5%1st Place
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5.02University of California at Los Angeles-0.235.7%1st Place
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4.48Western Washington University0.038.5%1st Place
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7.48University of Oregon-1.881.4%1st Place
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8.0University of California at Berkeley-2.411.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clay Myers | 41.6% | 26.0% | 15.8% | 9.8% | 4.8% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Burleigh Charlton | 5.6% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 11.4% | 14.1% | 17.0% | 19.5% | 13.5% | 3.4% |
| Noah Barton | 15.6% | 18.4% | 17.6% | 17.6% | 13.7% | 9.8% | 5.7% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Tyler Nolasco | 15.2% | 18.4% | 18.4% | 16.0% | 15.4% | 10.1% | 5.1% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Lauren McClintock | 5.5% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 11.7% | 17.4% | 20.4% | 13.1% | 3.1% |
| Jacob Matiyevsky | 5.7% | 8.3% | 11.8% | 13.1% | 15.8% | 17.1% | 17.2% | 9.2% | 1.8% |
| Caroline Hurley | 8.5% | 11.2% | 14.8% | 14.8% | 16.0% | 16.7% | 11.8% | 5.5% | 0.9% |
| Katy Priest | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 11.6% | 35.1% | 33.1% |
| John Cornet | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 8.1% | 20.5% | 57.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.