Race 7B

maisa-women-fall

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

84.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Mary Kate Mezzetti 14.1% 13.3% 13.2% 11.8% 14.2% 10.0% 9.3% 7.0% 4.5% 1.6% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Carolyn Smith 18.3% 16.7% 15.2% 15.3% 11.4% 7.9% 6.9% 4.7% 2.0% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Marissa Lihan 14.7% 15.8% 14.8% 11.5% 12.7% 11.2% 9.0% 5.0% 3.7% 1.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Hannah McNomee 12.9% 12.8% 12.6% 13.5% 10.4% 12.3% 9.8% 8.0% 4.6% 2.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0%
Brooke Lyon 11.4% 10.1% 12.0% 11.4% 10.1% 11.5% 11.1% 9.9% 7.5% 3.3% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
Quinn Howes 7.0% 6.6% 7.8% 9.4% 8.6% 8.9% 13.0% 13.1% 10.4% 10.0% 4.1% 1.0% 0.1%
Rachel Austin 11.2% 10.1% 10.3% 9.1% 12.3% 13.6% 9.0% 10.5% 8.0% 3.9% 1.6% 0.4% 0.0%
Madeleine Sims 3.7% 4.9% 3.9% 4.7% 5.8% 8.5% 9.7% 12.3% 18.3% 13.7% 9.2% 4.9% 0.4%
Joy MacDonald 1.1% 2.0% 1.7% 2.4% 2.5% 2.5% 4.5% 4.7% 9.2% 15.9% 23.4% 23.3% 6.8%
Eliza Schuett 1.1% 1.6% 2.2% 2.7% 2.7% 2.9% 4.0% 6.2% 9.9% 16.5% 23.4% 18.5% 8.3%
Hannah Schmidt 3.5% 5.2% 5.4% 6.4% 7.6% 7.8% 9.9% 13.6% 14.2% 15.2% 7.5% 3.0% 0.7%
Madelaine Harrison 0.6% 0.7% 0.8% 1.5% 1.3% 2.2% 2.9% 3.9% 5.8% 11.8% 20.3% 30.8% 17.4%
Briana Christophers 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.3% 0.4% 0.7% 0.9% 1.1% 1.9% 3.2% 7.2% 17.4% 66.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.