Race 8B

maisa-women-fall

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Mary Kate Mezzetti 13.7% 13.9% 13.4% 11.5% 14.3% 9.3% 10.3% 7.3% 4.2% 1.7% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Carolyn Smith 19.3% 17.0% 14.6% 14.5% 10.5% 9.6% 7.0% 4.2% 2.5% 0.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Brooke Lyon 8.6% 10.8% 12.6% 10.9% 10.9% 13.0% 12.5% 10.0% 6.0% 3.1% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
Madeleine Sims 3.3% 3.7% 3.9% 6.1% 6.8% 8.3% 9.2% 10.7% 17.3% 15.4% 10.1% 4.2% 1.0%
Hannah McNomee 13.3% 14.2% 12.5% 11.5% 11.6% 11.3% 10.4% 8.0% 5.0% 1.3% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
Marissa Lihan 16.6% 14.9% 14.9% 13.6% 12.2% 9.4% 7.3% 5.6% 4.1% 1.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Hannah Schmidt 5.2% 4.0% 6.4% 6.4% 5.6% 7.2% 10.0% 13.6% 15.0% 15.4% 7.7% 3.2% 0.3%
Rachel Austin 10.0% 10.1% 10.4% 11.9% 11.2% 12.3% 12.4% 8.9% 7.9% 3.2% 1.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Joy MacDonald 1.2% 1.6% 2.4% 1.5% 2.7% 2.7% 3.5% 5.9% 8.2% 17.6% 23.4% 21.2% 8.1%
Quinn Howes 6.5% 7.4% 6.8% 9.1% 9.2% 10.7% 10.2% 14.2% 11.0% 9.1% 3.5% 2.0% 0.3%
Briana Christophers 0.4% 0.0% 0.2% 0.4% 0.5% 0.2% 0.9% 1.1% 2.2% 4.9% 7.9% 18.1% 63.2%
Eliza Schuett 1.0% 1.5% 1.3% 1.9% 2.7% 4.4% 4.1% 6.5% 9.7% 15.5% 22.7% 20.2% 8.5%
Madelaine Harrison 0.9% 0.9% 0.6% 0.7% 1.8% 1.6% 2.2% 4.0% 6.9% 11.3% 20.0% 30.5% 18.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.