Race 9B

maisa-women-fall

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

69.2%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Hannah Schmidt 3.6% 4.2% 5.4% 6.2% 7.0% 7.1% 9.6% 12.8% 15.6% 12.7% 11.2% 4.2% 0.4%
Brooke Lyon 9.8% 10.1% 10.6% 12.7% 10.8% 11.8% 10.9% 9.6% 8.2% 3.0% 1.8% 0.7% 0.0%
Mary Kate Mezzetti 13.1% 13.2% 14.8% 11.4% 11.6% 12.7% 9.9% 6.1% 4.5% 1.6% 0.9% 0.1% 0.1%
Carolyn Smith 18.0% 18.9% 14.2% 13.5% 12.1% 9.5% 6.4% 4.9% 1.4% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Marissa Lihan 17.6% 14.7% 14.8% 11.8% 12.1% 10.8% 7.5% 5.9% 3.3% 1.1% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Rachel Austin 9.6% 11.0% 10.4% 11.4% 10.9% 12.2% 9.9% 8.9% 8.3% 5.0% 2.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Quinn Howes 7.9% 6.5% 8.0% 8.4% 8.5% 8.4% 11.2% 13.5% 12.0% 9.8% 4.0% 1.6% 0.2%
Hannah McNomee 12.7% 13.5% 11.9% 12.2% 13.1% 12.1% 9.9% 6.5% 4.7% 2.5% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
Laura Maranto 1.1% 2.0% 2.1% 1.8% 2.5% 2.6% 4.4% 5.3% 7.8% 15.3% 19.5% 27.5% 8.1%
Madeleine Sims 4.0% 3.7% 4.8% 6.0% 6.1% 6.0% 9.7% 12.7% 14.7% 14.8% 10.6% 5.6% 1.3%
Eliza Schuett 1.3% 1.2% 1.0% 2.4% 3.2% 3.4% 4.5% 6.7% 9.4% 17.3% 20.5% 20.3% 8.8%
Joy MacDonald 1.0% 0.7% 1.8% 2.2% 1.8% 3.1% 4.5% 6.1% 8.0% 13.4% 21.3% 26.3% 9.8%
Briana Christophers 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.3% 0.3% 1.6% 1.0% 2.1% 2.7% 6.6% 13.3% 71.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.