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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Los Angeles1.48+4.21vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California2.77+0.26vs Predicted
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3University of California at Los Angeles-0.03+6.47vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Cruz0.86+2.34vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Cruz0.82+1.26vs Predicted
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6Arizona State University0.74+1.02vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego0.22+1.55vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.47+3.36vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.26-0.48vs Predicted
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10California State University Channel Islands-1.06+3.97vs Predicted
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11University of California at Irvine-0.12-1.01vs Predicted
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12University of California at San Diego-0.51-0.73vs Predicted
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13Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.14+1.25vs Predicted
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14University of California at San Diego-1.57+1.16vs Predicted
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15Arizona State University-1.53+0.35vs Predicted
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16Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.00-2.76vs Predicted
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17University of California at Los Angeles-1.09-3.27vs Predicted
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18University of California at San Diego-1.72-2.03vs Predicted
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19University of California at Los Angeles-1.38-4.32vs Predicted
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20San Diego State University0.53-12.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.21University of California at Los Angeles1.489.0%1st Place
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2.26University of Southern California2.7739.4%1st Place
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9.47University of California at Los Angeles-0.033.1%1st Place
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6.34University of California at Santa Cruz0.867.5%1st Place
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6.26University of California at Santa Cruz0.827.9%1st Place
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7.02Arizona State University0.747.1%1st Place
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8.55University of California at San Diego0.223.1%1st Place
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11.36Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.472.0%1st Place
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8.52Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.263.1%1st Place
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13.97California State University Channel Islands-1.060.7%1st Place
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9.99University of California at Irvine-0.123.2%1st Place
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11.27University of California at San Diego-0.512.0%1st Place
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14.25Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.141.1%1st Place
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15.16University of California at San Diego-1.570.7%1st Place
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15.35Arizona State University-1.530.5%1st Place
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13.24Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.001.5%1st Place
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13.73University of California at Los Angeles-1.091.5%1st Place
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15.97University of California at San Diego-1.720.7%1st Place
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14.68University of California at Los Angeles-1.380.4%1st Place
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7.41San Diego State University0.535.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 9.0% | 12.0% | 13.5% | 12.4% | 12.2% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Hou | 39.4% | 27.9% | 15.8% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Spector | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Blake Roberts | 7.5% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| George Soliman | 7.9% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 11.9% | 11.6% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Boylan | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Svenja Leonard | 3.1% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Ximena Greatorex | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 1.0% |
| Florence Duff | 3.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Kaylena Mann | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 7.3% |
| Amir Tadros | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Andrew Keller | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 2.1% | 1.2% |
| Jack Kelly | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 11.4% | 10.0% |
| AnnaClaire Rogness | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 13.7% | 15.7% |
| Gage Reitzel | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 11.3% | 14.9% | 16.9% |
| Sienna Stromberg | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 5.1% |
| Xinyu Zhou | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 6.6% |
| Michael Nodini | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 11.8% | 14.4% | 23.2% |
| Sandor Felber | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 12.7% |
| Christopher Hopkins | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.