Race 10B

maisa-women-fall

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Mary Kate Mezzetti 14.5% 11.7% 14.9% 12.4% 11.6% 10.4% 10.6% 7.1% 4.2% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Brooke Lyon 10.6% 9.6% 11.6% 11.9% 12.2% 11.3% 10.0% 9.1% 8.3% 3.0% 2.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Carolyn Smith 18.1% 18.2% 14.2% 13.2% 11.9% 10.2% 6.9% 4.7% 1.6% 0.8% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Hannah Schmidt 3.5% 4.4% 4.9% 6.1% 6.1% 8.8% 9.2% 12.2% 15.3% 13.2% 12.1% 3.7% 0.5%
Rachel Austin 10.7% 10.1% 10.8% 11.4% 9.8% 11.0% 12.4% 10.6% 6.4% 5.1% 1.2% 0.3% 0.2%
Madeleine Sims 3.7% 4.6% 3.9% 5.2% 6.1% 7.4% 9.4% 12.0% 15.4% 14.3% 12.0% 5.4% 0.6%
Marissa Lihan 16.8% 15.6% 13.8% 12.3% 12.9% 10.2% 7.7% 5.5% 3.2% 1.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Joy MacDonald 1.0% 1.6% 1.8% 2.0% 3.1% 2.6% 2.6% 4.9% 9.8% 15.8% 19.6% 27.6% 7.6%
Hannah McNomee 12.5% 13.1% 11.9% 11.7% 13.5% 10.9% 8.8% 8.6% 5.2% 2.7% 1.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Eliza Schuett 1.3% 1.5% 2.2% 2.6% 2.1% 3.6% 2.9% 7.4% 9.2% 14.9% 20.0% 23.1% 9.2%
Quinn Howes 6.1% 8.2% 7.9% 8.8% 8.2% 10.4% 13.5% 11.5% 10.9% 9.0% 3.8% 1.5% 0.2%
Laura Maranto 1.0% 1.0% 2.0% 2.1% 2.0% 2.7% 5.2% 5.5% 8.3% 14.2% 21.1% 24.9% 10.0%
Briana Christophers 0.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.3% 0.5% 0.5% 0.8% 0.9% 2.2% 3.5% 5.9% 13.0% 71.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.