← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
45.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Southern California2.77+1.28vs Predicted
-
2University of California at Santa Cruz0.82+4.26vs Predicted
-
3University of California at Los Angeles1.48+2.14vs Predicted
-
4University of California at Los Angeles-0.03+5.39vs Predicted
-
5University of California at Irvine-0.12+4.72vs Predicted
-
6University of California at Santa Cruz0.86+0.40vs Predicted
-
7Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.26+1.71vs Predicted
-
8Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.47+3.35vs Predicted
-
9San Diego State University0.53-1.63vs Predicted
-
10Arizona State University0.74-2.81vs Predicted
-
11University of California at San Diego-0.51+0.20vs Predicted
-
12California State University Channel Islands-1.06+1.78vs Predicted
-
13University of California at San Diego0.22-4.36vs Predicted
-
14University of California at Los Angeles-1.09-0.18vs Predicted
-
15Arizona State University-1.53+0.22vs Predicted
-
16Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.14-1.53vs Predicted
-
17Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.00-3.80vs Predicted
-
18University of California at Los Angeles-1.38-3.48vs Predicted
-
19University of California at San Diego-1.57-3.73vs Predicted
-
20University of California at San Diego-1.72-3.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.28University of Southern California2.7742.4%1st Place
-
6.26University of California at Santa Cruz0.827.2%1st Place
-
5.14University of California at Los Angeles1.4810.8%1st Place
-
9.39University of California at Los Angeles-0.033.0%1st Place
-
9.72University of California at Irvine-0.123.0%1st Place
-
6.4University of California at Santa Cruz0.866.3%1st Place
-
8.71Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.264.0%1st Place
-
11.35Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.472.1%1st Place
-
7.37San Diego State University0.535.1%1st Place
-
7.19Arizona State University0.745.0%1st Place
-
11.2University of California at San Diego-0.511.9%1st Place
-
13.78California State University Channel Islands-1.060.9%1st Place
-
8.64University of California at San Diego0.223.4%1st Place
-
13.82University of California at Los Angeles-1.090.8%1st Place
-
15.22Arizona State University-1.530.5%1st Place
-
14.47Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.140.8%1st Place
-
13.2Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.001.1%1st Place
-
14.52University of California at Los Angeles-1.380.7%1st Place
-
15.27University of California at San Diego-1.570.9%1st Place
-
16.08University of California at San Diego-1.720.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Hou | 42.4% | 23.2% | 15.6% | 9.1% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| George Soliman | 7.2% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 10.8% | 12.8% | 13.2% | 12.4% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Spector | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Amir Tadros | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Blake Roberts | 6.3% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Florence Duff | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Ximena Greatorex | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 1.1% |
| Christopher Hopkins | 5.1% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Aidan Boylan | 5.0% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Keller | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.0% |
| Kaylena Mann | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 7.1% |
| Svenja Leonard | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Xinyu Zhou | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 6.5% |
| Gage Reitzel | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 12.3% | 13.0% | 16.8% |
| Jack Kelly | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 11.3% | 11.6% | 9.4% |
| Sienna Stromberg | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 5.0% |
| Sandor Felber | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 12.2% | 10.6% |
| AnnaClaire Rogness | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 12.2% | 12.3% | 16.9% |
| Michael Nodini | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 12.0% | 14.4% | 24.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.