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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Minnesota2.01+1.23vs Predicted
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2University of Minnesota0.20+2.76vs Predicted
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4University of Minnesota1.95-1.65vs Predicted
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5University of Notre Dame-0.09+0.20vs Predicted
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6University of Wisconsin1.27-2.82vs Predicted
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7University of Wisconsin-0.24-1.67vs Predicted
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8University of Notre Dame-0.11-2.77vs Predicted
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10Marquette University-2.81-2.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.23University of Minnesota2.010.4%1st Place
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4.76University of Minnesota0.200.1%1st Place
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2.35University of Minnesota1.950.3%1st Place
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5.2University of Notre Dame-0.090.0%1st Place
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3.18University of Wisconsin1.270.2%1st Place
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5.33University of Wisconsin-0.240.0%1st Place
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5.23University of Notre Dame-0.110.0%1st Place
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7.72Marquette University-2.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Oltrogge | 36.4% | 28.5% | 18.7% | 10.1% | 5.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Joe Lund | 5.6% | 7.1% | 10.1% | 17.8% | 20.7% | 21.7% | 14.6% | 2.4% |
| Ryan Grosch | 31.0% | 29.3% | 22.4% | 10.7% | 4.4% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Schneeberger | 3.6% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 13.3% | 18.4% | 23.4% | 24.5% | 2.9% |
| Nathan Jamieson | 15.3% | 19.6% | 26.0% | 19.5% | 12.1% | 5.9% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Indigo Leslie | 4.0% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 13.8% | 18.3% | 23.0% | 26.5% | 3.9% |
| Peter Roehmholdt | 4.0% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 14.1% | 18.8% | 21.0% | 26.3% | 3.2% |
| Jose Fossas | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 5.9% | 87.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.