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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California2.77+1.34vs Predicted
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2University of California at Los Angeles1.48+3.15vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Cruz0.86+3.27vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.14+10.52vs Predicted
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5Arizona State University0.74+2.16vs Predicted
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6University of California at Irvine-0.12+3.92vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles-0.03+2.45vs Predicted
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8California State University Channel Islands-1.06+5.69vs Predicted
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9San Diego State University0.53-1.45vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Cruz0.82-3.58vs Predicted
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11Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.26-2.29vs Predicted
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12University of California at San Diego0.22-3.61vs Predicted
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13University of California at Los Angeles-1.09+0.74vs Predicted
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14University of California at San Diego-0.51-2.90vs Predicted
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15Arizona State University-1.53+0.52vs Predicted
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16University of California at Los Angeles-1.38-1.44vs Predicted
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17Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.47-5.58vs Predicted
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18University of California at San Diego-1.72-2.00vs Predicted
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19Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.00-6.03vs Predicted
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20University of California at San Diego-1.57-4.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.34University of Southern California2.7740.5%1st Place
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5.15University of California at Los Angeles1.4810.3%1st Place
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6.27University of California at Santa Cruz0.868.0%1st Place
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14.52Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.141.0%1st Place
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7.16Arizona State University0.744.5%1st Place
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9.92University of California at Irvine-0.122.6%1st Place
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9.45University of California at Los Angeles-0.033.4%1st Place
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13.69California State University Channel Islands-1.061.1%1st Place
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7.55San Diego State University0.534.7%1st Place
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6.42University of California at Santa Cruz0.827.1%1st Place
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8.71Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.263.3%1st Place
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8.39University of California at San Diego0.223.7%1st Place
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13.74University of California at Los Angeles-1.091.6%1st Place
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11.1University of California at San Diego-0.512.2%1st Place
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15.52Arizona State University-1.530.4%1st Place
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14.56University of California at Los Angeles-1.380.6%1st Place
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11.42Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.472.1%1st Place
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16.0University of California at San Diego-1.720.4%1st Place
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12.97Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.001.8%1st Place
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15.15University of California at San Diego-1.570.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Hou | 40.5% | 24.2% | 15.8% | 9.4% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 10.3% | 13.2% | 12.6% | 12.2% | 12.0% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Blake Roberts | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Jack Kelly | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 12.0% | 12.7% | 9.2% |
| Aidan Boylan | 4.5% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Amir Tadros | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.5% |
| David Spector | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Kaylena Mann | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 6.9% |
| Christopher Hopkins | 4.7% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| George Soliman | 7.1% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Florence Duff | 3.3% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Svenja Leonard | 3.7% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Xinyu Zhou | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.5% |
| Andrew Keller | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Gage Reitzel | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 14.9% | 16.8% |
| Sandor Felber | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 12.0% | 11.4% | 11.3% |
| Ximena Greatorex | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.3% |
| Michael Nodini | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 14.5% | 24.2% |
| Sienna Stromberg | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 5.1% |
| AnnaClaire Rogness | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 13.4% | 15.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.