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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Minnesota2.01+1.23vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin1.27+1.24vs Predicted
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3University of Minnesota1.95-0.69vs Predicted
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4University of Notre Dame-0.11+1.22vs Predicted
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6University of Minnesota0.20-1.25vs Predicted
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7University of Wisconsin-0.24-1.67vs Predicted
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9University of Notre Dame-0.09-3.81vs Predicted
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11Marquette University-2.81-3.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.23University of Minnesota2.010.4%1st Place
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3.24University of Wisconsin1.270.2%1st Place
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2.31University of Minnesota1.950.3%1st Place
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5.22University of Notre Dame-0.110.0%1st Place
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4.75University of Minnesota0.200.0%1st Place
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5.33University of Wisconsin-0.240.0%1st Place
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5.19University of Notre Dame-0.090.0%1st Place
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7.72Marquette University-2.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Oltrogge | 36.1% | 29.0% | 18.1% | 11.0% | 4.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Jamieson | 15.8% | 18.2% | 24.3% | 20.1% | 13.0% | 7.0% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Grosch | 31.8% | 30.4% | 21.7% | 9.8% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Peter Roehmholdt | 3.4% | 5.7% | 8.6% | 12.8% | 18.3% | 23.0% | 24.7% | 3.5% |
| Joe Lund | 4.8% | 7.0% | 11.1% | 18.0% | 21.5% | 21.0% | 15.1% | 1.5% |
| Indigo Leslie | 3.8% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 13.9% | 18.0% | 22.1% | 27.4% | 3.9% |
| Katherine Schneeberger | 4.2% | 5.0% | 8.6% | 13.5% | 18.8% | 21.6% | 24.8% | 3.5% |
| Jose Fossas | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 5.9% | 87.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.