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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Minnesota1.95+1.30vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin1.27+1.26vs Predicted
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3University of Minnesota2.01-0.74vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin-0.07+0.20vs Predicted
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6University of Minnesota0.20-1.22vs Predicted
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8University of Notre Dame-0.11-2.78vs Predicted
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9University of Notre Dame-0.09-3.76vs Predicted
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10Marquette University-2.81-2.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.3University of Minnesota1.950.3%1st Place
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3.26University of Wisconsin1.270.2%1st Place
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2.26University of Minnesota2.010.3%1st Place
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5.2University of Wisconsin-0.070.0%1st Place
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4.78University of Minnesota0.200.0%1st Place
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5.22University of Notre Dame-0.110.0%1st Place
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5.24University of Notre Dame-0.090.0%1st Place
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7.73Marquette University-2.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Grosch | 33.6% | 29.5% | 18.7% | 11.5% | 4.9% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Jamieson | 16.0% | 17.2% | 25.1% | 19.2% | 13.4% | 7.3% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Emily Oltrogge | 33.4% | 31.1% | 19.7% | 9.7% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Reiland | 3.9% | 5.3% | 8.8% | 12.8% | 19.1% | 21.9% | 24.7% | 3.5% |
| Joe Lund | 4.8% | 6.9% | 11.4% | 17.9% | 19.5% | 21.8% | 16.2% | 1.5% |
| Peter Roehmholdt | 4.3% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 14.6% | 20.3% | 20.8% | 25.3% | 3.3% |
| Katherine Schneeberger | 3.9% | 5.2% | 8.5% | 13.1% | 17.3% | 22.4% | 26.1% | 3.5% |
| Jose Fossas | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 5.4% | 88.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.