← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Southern California2.77+1.36vs Predicted
-
2Arizona State University-1.53+11.93vs Predicted
-
3University of California at Los Angeles1.48+1.97vs Predicted
-
4University of California at Santa Cruz0.82+2.20vs Predicted
-
5University of California at Los Angeles-0.03+3.97vs Predicted
-
6San Diego State University1.59-1.76vs Predicted
-
7California State University Channel Islands-1.06+5.65vs Predicted
-
8San Diego State University0.53-0.87vs Predicted
-
9University of California at San Diego0.22-1.03vs Predicted
-
10Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.26-1.80vs Predicted
-
11Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.14+2.34vs Predicted
-
12Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.47-1.36vs Predicted
-
13University of California at Los Angeles-1.09-0.28vs Predicted
-
14University of California at Los Angeles-1.38-0.66vs Predicted
-
15Arizona State University0.74-8.29vs Predicted
-
16Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.00-3.64vs Predicted
-
17University of California at San Diego-0.51-6.43vs Predicted
-
18University of California at San Diego-1.72-3.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.36University of Southern California2.7738.4%1st Place
-
13.93Arizona State University-1.530.7%1st Place
-
4.97University of California at Los Angeles1.4811.2%1st Place
-
6.2University of California at Santa Cruz0.826.8%1st Place
-
8.97University of California at Los Angeles-0.033.3%1st Place
-
4.24San Diego State University1.5913.8%1st Place
-
12.65California State University Channel Islands-1.061.1%1st Place
-
7.13San Diego State University0.534.1%1st Place
-
7.97University of California at San Diego0.223.5%1st Place
-
8.2Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.263.6%1st Place
-
13.34Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.141.1%1st Place
-
10.64Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.471.8%1st Place
-
12.72University of California at Los Angeles-1.090.8%1st Place
-
13.34University of California at Los Angeles-1.380.5%1st Place
-
6.71Arizona State University0.746.5%1st Place
-
12.36Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.001.1%1st Place
-
10.57University of California at San Diego-0.511.4%1st Place
-
14.7University of California at San Diego-1.720.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Hou | 38.4% | 26.5% | 15.9% | 8.8% | 5.3% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gage Reitzel | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 11.8% | 16.7% | 19.1% |
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 11.2% | 12.7% | 12.8% | 13.0% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| George Soliman | 6.8% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 11.8% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Spector | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Blake Buckner | 13.8% | 14.8% | 16.9% | 14.6% | 11.4% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kaylena Mann | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 11.9% | 10.4% | 8.8% |
| Christopher Hopkins | 4.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Svenja Leonard | 3.5% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Florence Duff | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Jack Kelly | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 11.7% | 12.7% | 14.1% | 12.2% |
| Ximena Greatorex | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 3.6% | 1.7% |
| Xinyu Zhou | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 11.8% | 11.4% | 11.5% | 7.8% |
| Sandor Felber | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 12.4% | 12.0% | 13.4% |
| Aidan Boylan | 6.5% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Sienna Stromberg | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 12.2% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 6.9% |
| Andrew Keller | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 3.3% | 1.9% |
| Michael Nodini | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 11.6% | 17.6% | 27.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.