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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Minnesota1.95+1.32vs Predicted
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2University of Minnesota2.01+0.28vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin1.27+0.20vs Predicted
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6University of Minnesota0.20-1.19vs Predicted
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7University of Notre Dame-0.09-1.78vs Predicted
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8University of Wisconsin-0.07-2.86vs Predicted
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9University of Notre Dame-0.11-3.72vs Predicted
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10Marquette University-2.81-2.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.32University of Minnesota1.950.3%1st Place
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2.28University of Minnesota2.010.3%1st Place
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3.2University of Wisconsin1.270.2%1st Place
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4.81University of Minnesota0.200.1%1st Place
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5.22University of Notre Dame-0.090.0%1st Place
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5.14University of Wisconsin-0.070.0%1st Place
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5.28University of Notre Dame-0.110.0%1st Place
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7.75Marquette University-2.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Grosch | 33.8% | 27.6% | 20.7% | 11.1% | 4.8% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Emily Oltrogge | 32.4% | 31.3% | 19.4% | 11.1% | 4.4% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Jamieson | 16.3% | 18.4% | 25.5% | 18.2% | 13.9% | 5.7% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Joe Lund | 5.0% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 17.7% | 19.6% | 21.2% | 17.3% | 1.8% |
| Katherine Schneeberger | 4.2% | 4.7% | 7.9% | 12.7% | 18.3% | 25.6% | 23.8% | 2.8% |
| Benjamin Reiland | 4.6% | 4.5% | 8.0% | 15.3% | 20.8% | 19.3% | 24.3% | 3.2% |
| Peter Roehmholdt | 3.6% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 13.0% | 16.7% | 22.6% | 26.6% | 4.0% |
| Jose Fossas | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 5.6% | 88.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.