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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California2.77+1.37vs Predicted
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2San Diego State University1.59+2.18vs Predicted
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3University of California at Los Angeles1.48+2.06vs Predicted
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4Arizona State University-1.53+9.96vs Predicted
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5California State University Channel Islands-1.06+7.59vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Cruz0.82+0.21vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.26+1.22vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego0.22-0.16vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.47+1.66vs Predicted
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10San Diego State University0.53-2.86vs Predicted
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11Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.14+2.41vs Predicted
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12University of California at Los Angeles-1.09+0.69vs Predicted
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13Arizona State University0.74-6.20vs Predicted
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14Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.00-1.83vs Predicted
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15University of California at Los Angeles-0.03-5.98vs Predicted
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16University of California at San Diego-0.51-5.45vs Predicted
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17University of California at Los Angeles-1.38-3.46vs Predicted
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18University of California at San Diego-1.72-3.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.37University of Southern California2.7736.7%1st Place
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4.18San Diego State University1.5915.4%1st Place
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5.06University of California at Los Angeles1.489.8%1st Place
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13.96Arizona State University-1.530.6%1st Place
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12.59California State University Channel Islands-1.061.1%1st Place
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6.21University of California at Santa Cruz0.827.5%1st Place
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8.22Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.263.3%1st Place
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7.84University of California at San Diego0.223.6%1st Place
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10.66Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.471.5%1st Place
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7.14San Diego State University0.535.7%1st Place
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13.41Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.140.7%1st Place
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12.69University of California at Los Angeles-1.091.2%1st Place
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6.8Arizona State University0.746.2%1st Place
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12.17Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.000.9%1st Place
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9.02University of California at Los Angeles-0.032.6%1st Place
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10.55University of California at San Diego-0.512.2%1st Place
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13.54University of California at Los Angeles-1.380.6%1st Place
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14.59University of California at San Diego-1.720.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Hou | 36.7% | 27.3% | 16.8% | 9.3% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Blake Buckner | 15.4% | 15.7% | 14.5% | 14.8% | 11.5% | 10.1% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 9.8% | 11.9% | 13.0% | 12.8% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gage Reitzel | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 12.0% | 14.0% | 20.5% |
| Kaylena Mann | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 11.3% | 8.3% |
| George Soliman | 7.5% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Florence Duff | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Svenja Leonard | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Ximena Greatorex | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 3.1% | 2.1% |
| Christopher Hopkins | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Jack Kelly | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 11.0% | 12.2% | 14.1% | 13.2% |
| Xinyu Zhou | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 9.4% |
| Aidan Boylan | 6.2% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Sienna Stromberg | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 6.5% |
| David Spector | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Andrew Keller | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 1.3% |
| Sandor Felber | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 12.8% | 15.6% | 12.8% |
| Michael Nodini | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 10.6% | 10.9% | 16.9% | 25.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.