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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Cruz0.82+4.45vs Predicted
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2University of California at San Diego0.22+5.31vs Predicted
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3University of California at Los Angeles0.24+4.71vs Predicted
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4California State University Channel Islands-1.06+8.31vs Predicted
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5San Diego State University1.59-1.51vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California0.95-0.92vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles-1.09+5.36vs Predicted
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8Arizona State University0.74-1.96vs Predicted
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9Arizona State University-1.53+4.60vs Predicted
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10Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.26-2.48vs Predicted
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11Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.00+0.89vs Predicted
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12San Diego State University0.53-5.55vs Predicted
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13Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.14-0.04vs Predicted
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14Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.47-3.97vs Predicted
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15University of California at Los Angeles-1.29-2.04vs Predicted
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16University of California at Los Angeles-0.90-4.38vs Predicted
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17University of California at San Diego-0.51-7.13vs Predicted
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18University of California at San Diego-1.72-3.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.45University of California at Santa Cruz0.8210.8%1st Place
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7.31University of California at San Diego0.226.5%1st Place
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7.71University of California at Los Angeles0.245.7%1st Place
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12.31California State University Channel Islands-1.061.6%1st Place
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3.49San Diego State University1.5923.4%1st Place
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5.08University of Southern California0.9512.7%1st Place
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12.36University of California at Los Angeles-1.091.1%1st Place
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6.04Arizona State University0.749.2%1st Place
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13.6Arizona State University-1.531.0%1st Place
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7.52Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.265.4%1st Place
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11.89Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.001.5%1st Place
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6.45San Diego State University0.538.8%1st Place
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12.96Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.141.1%1st Place
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10.03Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.474.1%1st Place
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12.96University of California at Los Angeles-1.291.2%1st Place
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11.62University of California at Los Angeles-0.901.8%1st Place
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9.87University of California at San Diego-0.513.2%1st Place
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14.35University of California at San Diego-1.720.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| George Soliman | 10.8% | 10.7% | 12.3% | 12.0% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Svenja Leonard | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Mary Jane Howland | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Kaylena Mann | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 7.8% |
| Blake Buckner | 23.4% | 19.9% | 15.7% | 12.0% | 10.4% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rachel Leipold | 12.7% | 13.0% | 12.7% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Xinyu Zhou | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 9.6% |
| Aidan Boylan | 9.2% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Gage Reitzel | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 12.9% | 14.9% | 18.0% |
| Florence Duff | 5.4% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Sienna Stromberg | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 7.4% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 5.9% |
| Christopher Hopkins | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jack Kelly | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 11.6% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 12.1% |
| Ximena Greatorex | 4.1% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 1.3% |
| Teresa Dang | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 12.6% | 11.2% |
| Josephine Galvin | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 5.0% |
| Andrew Keller | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 1.2% |
| Michael Nodini | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 15.6% | 27.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.