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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Minnesota2.13+1.04vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin2.11+0.08vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin0.68-1.12vs Predicted
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6University of Notre Dame-0.61-0.36vs Predicted
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7University of Notre Dame0.11-2.35vs Predicted
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8Marquette University0.47-3.88vs Predicted
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9University of Minnesota-0.73-3.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.04University of Minnesota2.130.4%1st Place
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2.08University of Wisconsin2.110.4%1st Place
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3.88University of Wisconsin0.680.1%1st Place
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5.64University of Notre Dame-0.610.0%1st Place
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4.65University of Notre Dame0.110.0%1st Place
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4.12Marquette University0.470.1%1st Place
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5.6University of Minnesota-0.730.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alison Kent | 41.3% | 30.1% | 16.9% | 7.9% | 3.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Soren Walljasper | 36.4% | 35.5% | 16.4% | 8.1% | 3.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| David Meyerson | 7.7% | 11.4% | 21.9% | 23.7% | 19.9% | 10.3% | 5.1% |
| Sarah Eide | 0.9% | 3.2% | 6.1% | 11.2% | 15.1% | 26.1% | 37.4% |
| Anne Schoenwetter | 4.4% | 6.2% | 13.0% | 18.4% | 24.3% | 21.6% | 12.1% |
| Meghan Bouman | 6.9% | 9.8% | 19.5% | 20.5% | 20.9% | 16.6% | 5.8% |
| Ethan Fryer-Ressmeyer | 2.4% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 10.2% | 13.6% | 24.5% | 39.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.