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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University0.63+2.06vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii0.47+1.06vs Predicted
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3University of Washington-0.29+1.54vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley-0.22+0.66vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego-1.41+2.04vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California-0.12-1.43vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University-0.51-1.94vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.91-2.28vs Predicted
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9Arizona State University-1.60-1.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.06Stanford University0.6325.1%1st Place
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3.06University of Hawaii0.4724.9%1st Place
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4.54University of Washington-0.2911.4%1st Place
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4.66University of California at Berkeley-0.229.6%1st Place
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7.04University of California at San Diego-1.412.9%1st Place
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4.57University of Southern California-0.1210.7%1st Place
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5.06Western Washington University-0.517.8%1st Place
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5.72Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.915.4%1st Place
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7.29Arizona State University-1.602.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shay Wood | 25.1% | 20.8% | 18.1% | 12.9% | 11.6% | 6.7% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Malia Johnson | 24.9% | 21.3% | 17.1% | 14.3% | 10.2% | 7.3% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Stephanie Seto | 11.4% | 11.6% | 12.0% | 14.2% | 14.4% | 13.2% | 12.5% | 8.2% | 2.4% |
| Alyssa Cunningham Barkus | 9.6% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 15.4% | 13.4% | 14.8% | 11.9% | 8.6% | 3.2% |
| Cassie Halaszynski | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 13.0% | 24.2% | 33.2% |
| Lara Granucci | 10.7% | 10.8% | 13.6% | 14.2% | 13.4% | 14.6% | 12.0% | 7.8% | 3.0% |
| Anna Morrow | 7.8% | 10.1% | 11.6% | 11.1% | 13.4% | 13.7% | 15.2% | 11.2% | 5.9% |
| Claire Wiley | 5.4% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 11.7% | 14.0% | 17.8% | 15.8% | 10.9% |
| Erin Welker | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 11.6% | 21.1% | 40.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.