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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California0.95+4.06vs Predicted
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2San Diego State University1.59+1.54vs Predicted
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3Arizona State University0.74+3.02vs Predicted
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4California State University Channel Islands-1.06+8.30vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles-1.09+7.32vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego0.22+1.20vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.14+6.06vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles0.24-0.23vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Cruz0.82-3.69vs Predicted
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10University of California at Los Angeles-1.29+2.84vs Predicted
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11Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.47-0.77vs Predicted
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12Arizona State University-1.53+1.73vs Predicted
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13University of California at Los Angeles-0.90-1.49vs Predicted
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14Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.00-2.34vs Predicted
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15University of California at San Diego-1.72-0.58vs Predicted
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16University of California at San Diego-0.51-6.08vs Predicted
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17San Diego State University0.53-10.39vs Predicted
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18Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.26-10.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.06University of Southern California0.9513.9%1st Place
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3.54San Diego State University1.5922.9%1st Place
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6.02Arizona State University0.7410.0%1st Place
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12.3California State University Channel Islands-1.061.7%1st Place
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12.32University of California at Los Angeles-1.092.1%1st Place
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7.2University of California at San Diego0.226.3%1st Place
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13.06Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.141.1%1st Place
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7.77University of California at Los Angeles0.245.9%1st Place
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5.31University of California at Santa Cruz0.8210.8%1st Place
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12.84University of California at Los Angeles-1.290.9%1st Place
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10.23Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.472.9%1st Place
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13.73Arizona State University-1.531.1%1st Place
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11.51University of California at Los Angeles-0.901.9%1st Place
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11.66Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.002.2%1st Place
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14.42University of California at San Diego-1.720.9%1st Place
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9.92University of California at San Diego-0.512.9%1st Place
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6.61San Diego State University0.536.7%1st Place
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7.49Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.265.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rachel Leipold | 13.9% | 11.1% | 12.1% | 11.6% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Blake Buckner | 22.9% | 19.2% | 15.2% | 11.9% | 11.3% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Boylan | 10.0% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kaylena Mann | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 7.2% |
| Xinyu Zhou | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 9.0% |
| Svenja Leonard | 6.3% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Jack Kelly | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 10.9% | 11.8% | 12.1% | 12.8% |
| Mary Jane Howland | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| George Soliman | 10.8% | 12.1% | 13.0% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Teresa Dang | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 12.3% | 11.2% |
| Ximena Greatorex | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 1.7% |
| Gage Reitzel | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 9.8% | 12.3% | 15.3% | 18.8% |
| Josephine Galvin | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 6.6% | 4.8% |
| Sienna Stromberg | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 5.6% |
| Michael Nodini | 0.9% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 15.7% | 27.3% |
| Andrew Keller | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 1.4% |
| Christopher Hopkins | 6.7% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Florence Duff | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.