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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin2.11+1.11vs Predicted
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2University of Minnesota2.13+0.06vs Predicted
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3University of Notre Dame-0.61+2.55vs Predicted
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4University of Minnesota-0.73+1.76vs Predicted
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5Marquette University0.47-0.83vs Predicted
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6University of Notre Dame0.11-1.38vs Predicted
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7University of Wisconsin0.68-3.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.11University of Wisconsin2.110.4%1st Place
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2.06University of Minnesota2.130.4%1st Place
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5.55University of Notre Dame-0.610.0%1st Place
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5.76University of Minnesota-0.730.0%1st Place
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4.17Marquette University0.470.1%1st Place
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4.62University of Notre Dame0.110.0%1st Place
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3.73University of Wisconsin0.680.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Soren Walljasper | 39.1% | 29.2% | 18.7% | 9.0% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Alison Kent | 36.4% | 35.6% | 17.4% | 7.9% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Sarah Eide | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 10.4% | 14.9% | 27.3% | 35.8% |
| Ethan Fryer-Ressmeyer | 0.9% | 2.8% | 6.0% | 9.2% | 15.0% | 23.0% | 43.1% |
| Meghan Bouman | 6.3% | 8.6% | 19.5% | 21.2% | 21.8% | 16.8% | 5.8% |
| Anne Schoenwetter | 4.6% | 6.0% | 13.7% | 19.2% | 22.9% | 22.4% | 11.2% |
| David Meyerson | 9.8% | 13.7% | 20.1% | 23.1% | 20.6% | 9.0% | 3.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.