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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.83+4.11vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California1.89+0.73vs Predicted
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3University of California at Los Angeles0.43+3.46vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles1.30-0.38vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Cruz0.10+2.27vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego0.41+0.26vs Predicted
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7San Diego State University-0.19+1.38vs Predicted
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8Arizona State University-0.41+0.97vs Predicted
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9Arizona State University-1.00+2.26vs Predicted
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10University of California at Los Angeles-1.39+2.95vs Predicted
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11Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.43+2.01vs Predicted
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12University of California at San Diego-0.58-2.54vs Predicted
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13Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.48-0.03vs Predicted
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14California State University Channel Islands-1.44-0.93vs Predicted
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15University of California at San Diego-1.93-0.36vs Predicted
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16University of California at San Diego-1.46-2.58vs Predicted
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17Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.95-2.37vs Predicted
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18University of California at Los Angeles-1.60-4.47vs Predicted
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19San Diego State University-1.27-6.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.11Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.8310.9%1st Place
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2.73University of Southern California1.8931.6%1st Place
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6.46University of California at Los Angeles0.436.1%1st Place
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3.62University of California at Los Angeles1.3020.1%1st Place
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7.27University of California at Santa Cruz0.105.9%1st Place
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6.26University of California at San Diego0.416.5%1st Place
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8.38San Diego State University-0.193.4%1st Place
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8.97Arizona State University-0.412.4%1st Place
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11.26Arizona State University-1.001.9%1st Place
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12.95University of California at Los Angeles-1.391.1%1st Place
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13.01Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.430.9%1st Place
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9.46University of California at San Diego-0.582.6%1st Place
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12.97Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.481.1%1st Place
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13.07California State University Channel Islands-1.441.6%1st Place
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14.64University of California at San Diego-1.930.3%1st Place
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13.42University of California at San Diego-1.460.8%1st Place
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14.63Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.950.8%1st Place
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13.53University of California at Los Angeles-1.600.9%1st Place
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12.26San Diego State University-1.271.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Kisling | 10.9% | 12.2% | 12.4% | 11.2% | 11.4% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Davis Winsor | 31.6% | 23.6% | 17.3% | 11.2% | 7.9% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zack Taylor | 6.1% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Marianna Shand | 20.1% | 18.9% | 17.2% | 14.0% | 10.4% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Zemke | 5.9% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Vivin Vinil | 6.5% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Burton | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Mitchell Powers | 2.4% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Antoine Kepczyk | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.3% |
| Deven Douglas | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 8.3% |
| Walden Hillegass | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 7.5% |
| Sean Lipps | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Colin Thompson | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 7.5% |
| Declan Dury | 1.6% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 7.0% |
| Joseph Weil | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 13.9% | 20.1% |
| Jonathan Hickey | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 10.3% |
| Alex Rosenbaum | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 13.5% | 20.9% |
| John Gallagher | 0.9% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 10.5% |
| Tegan Smith | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 4.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.