← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Minnesota2.13+1.08vs Predicted
-
2University of Wisconsin2.11+0.06vs Predicted
-
4University of Notre Dame0.11+0.65vs Predicted
-
5University of Wisconsin0.68-1.16vs Predicted
-
6Marquette University0.47-1.85vs Predicted
-
7University of Minnesota-0.73-1.28vs Predicted
-
10University of Notre Dame-0.61-4.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.08University of Minnesota2.130.4%1st Place
-
2.06University of Wisconsin2.110.4%1st Place
-
4.65University of Notre Dame0.110.1%1st Place
-
3.84University of Wisconsin0.680.1%1st Place
-
4.15Marquette University0.470.1%1st Place
-
5.72University of Minnesota-0.730.0%1st Place
-
5.49University of Notre Dame-0.610.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alison Kent | 38.9% | 30.5% | 19.0% | 8.7% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Soren Walljasper | 37.2% | 34.0% | 18.4% | 7.2% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Anne Schoenwetter | 5.4% | 5.7% | 12.4% | 18.3% | 23.8% | 21.6% | 12.8% |
| David Meyerson | 8.0% | 13.0% | 20.3% | 22.6% | 21.2% | 11.6% | 3.3% |
| Meghan Bouman | 6.3% | 9.8% | 18.0% | 23.1% | 20.6% | 15.3% | 6.9% |
| Ethan Fryer-Ressmeyer | 1.7% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 9.7% | 15.0% | 24.5% | 41.4% |
| Sarah Eide | 2.5% | 3.9% | 7.3% | 10.4% | 15.3% | 25.4% | 35.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.