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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Minnesota2.13+1.06vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin2.11+0.08vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin0.68-0.14vs Predicted
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5University of Minnesota-0.73+0.76vs Predicted
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7University of Notre Dame0.11-2.35vs Predicted
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8University of Notre Dame-0.61-2.42vs Predicted
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9Marquette University0.47-5.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.06University of Minnesota2.130.4%1st Place
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2.08University of Wisconsin2.110.4%1st Place
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3.86University of Wisconsin0.680.1%1st Place
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5.76University of Minnesota-0.730.0%1st Place
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4.65University of Notre Dame0.110.0%1st Place
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5.58University of Notre Dame-0.610.0%1st Place
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4.0Marquette University0.470.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alison Kent | 40.5% | 29.6% | 17.6% | 9.1% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Soren Walljasper | 36.7% | 34.3% | 17.7% | 7.8% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| David Meyerson | 8.0% | 11.6% | 23.0% | 21.7% | 19.2% | 12.2% | 4.3% |
| Ethan Fryer-Ressmeyer | 0.7% | 2.7% | 5.9% | 10.1% | 13.7% | 25.0% | 41.9% |
| Anne Schoenwetter | 4.2% | 6.2% | 13.1% | 19.9% | 22.3% | 21.9% | 12.4% |
| Sarah Eide | 2.3% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 10.8% | 16.8% | 25.8% | 36.0% |
| Meghan Bouman | 7.6% | 12.5% | 17.5% | 20.6% | 23.0% | 13.7% | 5.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.