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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Los Angeles1.30+2.72vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California1.89+0.84vs Predicted
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3University of California at San Diego0.41+3.48vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.83+1.59vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles0.43+1.68vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Cruz0.10+1.39vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Cruz-0.59+3.83vs Predicted
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8California State University Channel Islands-1.44+5.63vs Predicted
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9San Diego State University-0.19-0.27vs Predicted
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10University of California at Los Angeles-1.39+3.57vs Predicted
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11Arizona State University-0.41-1.56vs Predicted
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12San Diego State University-1.27+1.22vs Predicted
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13University of California at San Diego-1.46+1.16vs Predicted
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14Arizona State University-1.00-2.59vs Predicted
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15University of California at Los Angeles-1.60-0.64vs Predicted
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16Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.48-2.34vs Predicted
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17Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.95-1.55vs Predicted
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18University of California at San Diego-1.93-2.67vs Predicted
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19University of California at San Diego-0.58-8.98vs Predicted
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20Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.43-6.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.72University of California at Los Angeles1.3019.1%1st Place
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2.84University of Southern California1.8931.3%1st Place
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6.48University of California at San Diego0.416.3%1st Place
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5.59Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.839.7%1st Place
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6.68University of California at Los Angeles0.436.5%1st Place
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7.39University of California at Santa Cruz0.105.9%1st Place
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10.83University of California at Santa Cruz-0.592.2%1st Place
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13.63California State University Channel Islands-1.440.8%1st Place
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8.73San Diego State University-0.194.7%1st Place
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13.57University of California at Los Angeles-1.391.0%1st Place
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9.44Arizona State University-0.412.4%1st Place
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13.22San Diego State University-1.271.1%1st Place
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14.16University of California at San Diego-1.460.9%1st Place
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11.41Arizona State University-1.001.6%1st Place
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14.36University of California at Los Angeles-1.600.9%1st Place
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13.66Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.480.9%1st Place
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15.45Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.950.7%1st Place
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15.33University of California at San Diego-1.930.5%1st Place
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10.02University of California at San Diego-0.582.9%1st Place
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13.5Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.430.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marianna Shand | 19.1% | 19.9% | 15.0% | 14.1% | 10.8% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Davis Winsor | 31.3% | 21.9% | 17.6% | 11.3% | 7.7% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Vivin Vinil | 6.3% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Kisling | 9.7% | 9.2% | 12.4% | 11.0% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zack Taylor | 6.5% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Zemke | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Martin | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| Declan Dury | 0.8% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 7.6% |
| Morgan Burton | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Deven Douglas | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 7.4% |
| Mitchell Powers | 2.4% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Tegan Smith | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 4.9% |
| Jonathan Hickey | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 10.4% |
| Antoine Kepczyk | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 1.8% |
| John Gallagher | 0.9% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 11.7% | 11.7% |
| Colin Thompson | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.1% |
| Alex Rosenbaum | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 13.0% | 20.2% |
| Joseph Weil | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 14.0% | 18.9% |
| Sean Lipps | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Walden Hillegass | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 7.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.