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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Penn State University-0.01+3.69vs Predicted
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2University of Maryland/Baltimore County0.15+2.50vs Predicted
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3William and Mary0.15+1.51vs Predicted
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4Drexel University1.75-1.58vs Predicted
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5Villanova University1.15-1.83vs Predicted
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6Ocean County College1.73-3.61vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania-1.60-0.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.69Penn State University-0.010.1%1st Place
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4.5University of Maryland/Baltimore County0.150.1%1st Place
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4.51William and Mary0.150.1%1st Place
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2.42Drexel University1.750.3%1st Place
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3.17Villanova University1.150.2%1st Place
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2.39Ocean County College1.730.3%1st Place
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6.34University of Pennsylvania-1.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eliza Crawford | 6.5% | 6.5% | 10.7% | 14.7% | 23.3% | 26.2% | 12.1% |
| Alexander Doan | 5.7% | 7.9% | 13.3% | 17.6% | 22.5% | 25.5% | 7.5% |
| Chris Anderson | 7.1% | 8.3% | 10.9% | 16.6% | 23.4% | 24.8% | 8.9% |
| Joan Boyle | 30.1% | 29.1% | 19.2% | 14.3% | 5.5% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| David Alldian | 17.4% | 19.8% | 22.3% | 19.2% | 13.0% | 7.0% | 1.3% |
| Zachary Schippe | 32.1% | 27.2% | 20.3% | 12.9% | 5.7% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Justin Morena | 1.1% | 1.2% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 13.3% | 69.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.