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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Maryland/Baltimore County0.15+3.47vs Predicted
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2Villanova University1.15+1.12vs Predicted
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3Drexel University1.75-0.66vs Predicted
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4Penn State University-0.01+0.80vs Predicted
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5William and Mary0.15-0.46vs Predicted
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6Ocean County College1.73-3.60vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania-1.60-0.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.47University of Maryland/Baltimore County0.150.1%1st Place
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3.12Villanova University1.150.2%1st Place
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2.34Drexel University1.750.3%1st Place
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4.8Penn State University-0.010.0%1st Place
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4.54William and Mary0.150.1%1st Place
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2.4Ocean County College1.730.3%1st Place
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6.34University of Pennsylvania-1.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Doan | 6.9% | 7.8% | 12.6% | 18.2% | 21.6% | 24.5% | 8.4% |
| David Alldian | 17.7% | 19.7% | 22.7% | 20.8% | 12.3% | 5.7% | 1.1% |
| Joan Boyle | 30.9% | 30.8% | 21.1% | 10.4% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Eliza Crawford | 4.6% | 6.2% | 9.9% | 15.7% | 22.7% | 29.3% | 11.6% |
| Chris Anderson | 5.6% | 8.0% | 11.1% | 19.0% | 23.7% | 23.5% | 9.1% |
| Zachary Schippe | 33.0% | 26.1% | 20.1% | 11.7% | 7.4% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Justin Morena | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 7.8% | 13.3% | 69.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.