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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Los Angeles1.30+2.22vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California1.25+1.84vs Predicted
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3San Diego State University-0.27+4.95vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Cruz0.10+2.38vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.83-0.42vs Predicted
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6University of California at Irvine-0.36+2.24vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego0.41-1.70vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.43+3.97vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles-1.39+3.00vs Predicted
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10Arizona State University-0.41-2.14vs Predicted
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11San Diego State University-1.27+0.43vs Predicted
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12California State University Channel Islands-1.44+0.02vs Predicted
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13Arizona State University-2.09+1.09vs Predicted
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14University of California at San Diego-1.46-1.55vs Predicted
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15Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.48-2.70vs Predicted
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16University of California at Los Angeles-1.60-3.58vs Predicted
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17University of California at Los Angeles-2.96-0.27vs Predicted
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18University of California at San Diego-1.93-4.36vs Predicted
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19Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.95-5.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.22University of California at Los Angeles1.3024.6%1st Place
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3.84University of Southern California1.2519.1%1st Place
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7.95San Diego State University-0.274.6%1st Place
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6.38University of California at Santa Cruz0.106.4%1st Place
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4.58Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.8313.5%1st Place
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8.24University of California at Irvine-0.363.9%1st Place
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5.3University of California at San Diego0.4110.0%1st Place
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11.97Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.431.6%1st Place
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12.0University of California at Los Angeles-1.391.5%1st Place
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7.86Arizona State University-0.415.0%1st Place
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11.43San Diego State University-1.271.8%1st Place
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12.02California State University Channel Islands-1.441.0%1st Place
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14.09Arizona State University-2.090.5%1st Place
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12.45University of California at San Diego-1.461.5%1st Place
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12.3Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.481.5%1st Place
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12.42University of California at Los Angeles-1.601.3%1st Place
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16.73University of California at Los Angeles-2.960.5%1st Place
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13.64University of California at San Diego-1.931.1%1st Place
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13.56Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.950.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marianna Shand | 24.6% | 20.6% | 17.5% | 12.3% | 10.2% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Diya Correa | 19.1% | 16.2% | 15.9% | 15.3% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Casey Gignac | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jack Zemke | 6.4% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jack Kisling | 13.5% | 13.6% | 14.8% | 12.0% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nikita Swatek | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Vivin Vinil | 10.0% | 12.7% | 9.9% | 11.5% | 11.4% | 11.4% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Walden Hillegass | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 2.5% |
| Deven Douglas | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 2.1% |
| Mitchell Powers | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Tegan Smith | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 1.8% |
| Declan Dury | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 2.4% |
| Katherine Pearson | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 12.2% | 14.6% | 11.8% |
| Jonathan Hickey | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 4.7% |
| Colin Thompson | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 3.0% |
| John Gallagher | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 5.0% |
| Fadia Nitrosso | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 13.9% | 48.6% |
| Joseph Weil | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 12.9% | 9.4% |
| Alex Rosenbaum | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 11.3% | 8.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.