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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California-0.01+5.30vs Predicted
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2University of California at Irvine-0.36+5.76vs Predicted
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3Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.83+0.93vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles0.11+2.07vs Predicted
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5San Diego State University-0.27+2.45vs Predicted
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6Arizona State University-0.41+1.54vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles-1.39+4.87vs Predicted
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8California State University Channel Islands-1.44+3.79vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego0.41-4.11vs Predicted
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10Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.48+1.78vs Predicted
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11University of California at Los Angeles-1.63+1.38vs Predicted
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12Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.43-0.31vs Predicted
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13San Diego State University-1.27-1.90vs Predicted
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14Arizona State University-2.09-0.20vs Predicted
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15Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.95-1.43vs Predicted
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16University of California at Santa Cruz0.10-9.94vs Predicted
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17University of California at San Diego-1.46-4.82vs Predicted
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18University of California at San Diego-1.93-4.67vs Predicted
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19University of California at Los Angeles-2.96-2.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.3University of Southern California-0.018.6%1st Place
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7.76University of California at Irvine-0.366.7%1st Place
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3.93Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.8320.8%1st Place
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6.07University of California at Los Angeles0.118.9%1st Place
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7.45San Diego State University-0.275.8%1st Place
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7.54Arizona State University-0.415.3%1st Place
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11.87University of California at Los Angeles-1.391.9%1st Place
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11.79California State University Channel Islands-1.442.4%1st Place
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4.89University of California at San Diego0.4114.3%1st Place
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11.78Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.481.8%1st Place
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12.38University of California at Los Angeles-1.632.2%1st Place
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11.69Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.432.6%1st Place
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11.1San Diego State University-1.272.8%1st Place
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13.8Arizona State University-2.091.4%1st Place
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13.57Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.951.6%1st Place
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6.06University of California at Santa Cruz0.109.3%1st Place
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12.18University of California at San Diego-1.461.8%1st Place
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13.33University of California at San Diego-1.931.2%1st Place
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16.51University of California at Los Angeles-2.960.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eleanor Desai | 8.6% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nikita Swatek | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Jack Kisling | 20.8% | 18.4% | 12.1% | 12.9% | 10.8% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Linnea Jackson | 8.9% | 9.3% | 11.4% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Casey Gignac | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Mitchell Powers | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Deven Douglas | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 3.2% |
| Declan Dury | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 3.4% |
| Vivin Vinil | 14.3% | 12.6% | 12.6% | 11.7% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colin Thompson | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 3.5% |
| Aidan Araoz | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 4.3% |
| Walden Hillegass | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 2.3% |
| Tegan Smith | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 2.1% |
| Katherine Pearson | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 12.3% | 14.5% | 10.8% |
| Alex Rosenbaum | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 12.2% | 10.1% |
| Jack Zemke | 9.3% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Hickey | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 4.3% |
| Joseph Weil | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 12.8% | 8.8% |
| Fadia Nitrosso | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 13.2% | 46.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.