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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Drexel University1.64+1.27vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania0.02+2.80vs Predicted
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3University of Maryland/Baltimore County0.24+1.45vs Predicted
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4Villanova University0.61-0.16vs Predicted
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5Ocean County College0.79-1.42vs Predicted
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6William and Mary0.48-1.93vs Predicted
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7Penn State University-0.17-2.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.27Drexel University1.640.4%1st Place
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4.8University of Pennsylvania0.020.1%1st Place
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4.45University of Maryland/Baltimore County0.240.1%1st Place
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3.84Villanova University0.610.1%1st Place
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3.58Ocean County College0.790.1%1st Place
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4.07William and Mary0.480.1%1st Place
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4.97Penn State University-0.170.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Myers | 40.3% | 23.5% | 17.0% | 10.7% | 5.5% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Matthias Chia | 7.0% | 8.1% | 12.2% | 13.4% | 13.7% | 21.2% | 24.4% |
| Adam Rybczynski | 8.0% | 10.5% | 14.0% | 15.5% | 16.0% | 19.6% | 16.4% |
| Casey Jackson | 12.8% | 16.3% | 14.1% | 18.9% | 16.2% | 12.1% | 9.6% |
| Liam Boyle | 13.2% | 19.4% | 19.2% | 16.1% | 14.8% | 10.7% | 6.6% |
| Rachel Pinkham | 11.7% | 13.7% | 13.8% | 16.0% | 18.0% | 14.6% | 12.2% |
| Charles Herlihy | 7.0% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 15.8% | 19.7% | 29.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.