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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland4.83+5.70vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University3.92+8.33vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University4.78+3.80vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.42+3.95vs Predicted
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5University of Miami3.99+4.67vs Predicted
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6Brown University4.49+1.75vs Predicted
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7Boston College4.89-0.81vs Predicted
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8Washington College4.25+0.68vs Predicted
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9Harvard University4.52-1.48vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont3.62+1.46vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.63-3.64vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy4.09-2.29vs Predicted
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13Tufts University3.70-2.19vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College3.58-2.89vs Predicted
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15Yale University2.77-0.82vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College3.30-3.45vs Predicted
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17College of Charleston4.76-10.11vs Predicted
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18Princeton University2.30-2.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.7St. Mary's College of Maryland4.830.1%1st Place
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10.33Salve Regina University3.920.0%1st Place
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6.8Roger Williams University4.780.1%1st Place
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7.95Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.420.1%1st Place
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9.67University of Miami3.990.0%1st Place
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7.75Brown University4.490.1%1st Place
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6.19Boston College4.890.1%1st Place
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8.68Washington College4.250.1%1st Place
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7.52Harvard University4.520.1%1st Place
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11.46University of Vermont3.620.0%1st Place
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7.36U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.630.1%1st Place
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9.71U. S. Naval Academy4.090.0%1st Place
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10.81Tufts University3.700.0%1st Place
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11.11Dartmouth College3.580.0%1st Place
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14.18Yale University2.770.0%1st Place
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12.55Connecticut College3.300.0%1st Place
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6.89College of Charleston4.760.1%1st Place
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15.33Princeton University2.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Menninger | 8.6% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Peter Pellegrini | 3.6% | 2.3% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 2.3% |
| Cy Thompson | 8.4% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| John Darby | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Nicholas Voss | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 4.1% | 2.1% |
| Fred Strammer | 8.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Tyler Sinks | 10.4% | 11.9% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.2% |
| Joseph Blouin | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 1.0% |
| Alan Palmer | 6.5% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Coleman Bowen | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 4.8% |
| Samuel Ingham | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Clark Hayes | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 1.5% |
| Massimo Soriano | 3.5% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 3.8% |
| Edward Glackin | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 5.6% |
| Andrew Kurzrok | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 11.9% | 20.4% | 23.0% |
| Katherine Andril | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 11.4% | 15.0% | 10.2% |
| Juan Maegli | 9.9% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Mary Gamber | 1.4% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 10.0% | 15.9% | 43.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.