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📊 Prediction Accuracy
18.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston1.26+5.15vs Predicted
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2Yale University1.57+3.32vs Predicted
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3Fordham University0.71+6.69vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island0.99+3.44vs Predicted
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5George Washington University0.93+2.99vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.22+0.60vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland0.67+1.66vs Predicted
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8Boston College-0.06+2.97vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.32+0.65vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College-0.13+2.13vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida0.99-3.14vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.81-4.97vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont0.48-4.05vs Predicted
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14Boston University1.14-7.57vs Predicted
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15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29-5.52vs Predicted
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16Tufts University-0.25-4.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.15College of Charleston1.2610.8%1st Place
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5.32Yale University1.5714.4%1st Place
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9.69Fordham University0.713.9%1st Place
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7.44University of Rhode Island0.998.3%1st Place
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7.99George Washington University0.935.5%1st Place
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6.6Northeastern University1.229.4%1st Place
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8.66St. Mary's College of Maryland0.674.7%1st Place
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10.97Boston College-0.062.5%1st Place
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9.65U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.323.7%1st Place
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12.13Connecticut College-0.131.1%1st Place
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7.86University of South Florida0.996.3%1st Place
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7.03Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.818.8%1st Place
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8.95University of Vermont0.485.0%1st Place
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6.43Boston University1.148.7%1st Place
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9.48U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.294.9%1st Place
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11.67Tufts University-0.252.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Alfortish | 10.8% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Audrey Foley | 14.4% | 12.4% | 11.1% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Lizzie Cochran | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 6.9% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 8.3% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.2% |
| Avery Canavan | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 2.5% |
| Eva Ermlich | 9.4% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.8% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 3.5% |
| Kate Joslin | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 14.0% | 15.1% |
| Caroline Odell | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 6.3% |
| Lilly Saffer | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 14.8% | 26.8% |
| Kalea Woodard | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 2.0% |
| Emma Wang | 8.8% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Audrey Commerford | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 4.0% |
| Tiare Sierra | 8.7% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 6.2% |
| Greta Traver | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 10.8% | 13.7% | 23.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.