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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Drexel University1.64+1.32vs Predicted
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2Villanova University0.61+1.82vs Predicted
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3William and Mary0.48+1.05vs Predicted
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4Ocean County College0.79-0.44vs Predicted
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5University of Maryland/Baltimore County0.24-0.52vs Predicted
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6Penn State University-0.17-0.92vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania0.02-2.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.32Drexel University1.640.4%1st Place
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3.82Villanova University0.610.1%1st Place
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4.05William and Mary0.480.1%1st Place
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3.56Ocean County College0.790.2%1st Place
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4.48University of Maryland/Baltimore County0.240.1%1st Place
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5.08Penn State University-0.170.1%1st Place
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4.69University of Pennsylvania0.020.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Myers | 39.7% | 23.7% | 15.4% | 11.3% | 6.7% | 2.0% | 1.2% |
| Casey Jackson | 11.1% | 17.4% | 17.5% | 16.6% | 15.8% | 13.2% | 8.4% |
| Rachel Pinkham | 10.5% | 14.5% | 15.2% | 16.9% | 17.0% | 14.1% | 11.8% |
| Liam Boyle | 16.1% | 16.6% | 17.6% | 18.6% | 13.6% | 11.2% | 6.3% |
| Adam Rybczynski | 7.5% | 11.3% | 14.7% | 14.2% | 15.1% | 18.6% | 18.6% |
| Charles Herlihy | 5.9% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 11.9% | 14.1% | 19.6% | 31.9% |
| Matthias Chia | 9.2% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 17.7% | 21.3% | 21.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.