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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Drexel University1.64+1.29vs Predicted
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2Villanova University0.61+1.81vs Predicted
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3Penn State University-0.17+2.12vs Predicted
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4Ocean County College0.79-0.40vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania0.02-0.17vs Predicted
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6University of Maryland/Baltimore County0.24-1.56vs Predicted
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7William and Mary0.48-3.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.29Drexel University1.640.4%1st Place
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3.81Villanova University0.610.1%1st Place
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5.12Penn State University-0.170.1%1st Place
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3.6Ocean County College0.790.2%1st Place
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4.83University of Pennsylvania0.020.1%1st Place
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4.44University of Maryland/Baltimore County0.240.1%1st Place
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3.9William and Mary0.480.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Myers | 39.6% | 23.6% | 17.1% | 10.6% | 6.6% | 1.5% | 1.0% |
| Casey Jackson | 11.5% | 17.4% | 17.9% | 15.2% | 16.4% | 13.3% | 8.3% |
| Charles Herlihy | 5.7% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 15.0% | 21.5% | 31.6% |
| Liam Boyle | 15.3% | 16.3% | 17.5% | 19.3% | 13.2% | 12.6% | 5.8% |
| Matthias Chia | 6.1% | 9.1% | 11.8% | 12.5% | 14.9% | 19.9% | 25.7% |
| Adam Rybczynski | 8.5% | 12.3% | 12.5% | 14.6% | 16.1% | 17.8% | 18.2% |
| Rachel Pinkham | 13.3% | 14.5% | 13.6% | 18.0% | 17.8% | 13.4% | 9.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.