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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Villanova University0.61+2.75vs Predicted
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2Drexel University1.64+0.30vs Predicted
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3Penn State University-0.17+2.09vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania0.02+0.88vs Predicted
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5William and Mary0.48-0.90vs Predicted
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6University of Maryland/Baltimore County0.24-1.54vs Predicted
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7Ocean County College0.79-3.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.75Villanova University0.610.1%1st Place
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2.3Drexel University1.640.4%1st Place
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5.09Penn State University-0.170.1%1st Place
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4.88University of Pennsylvania0.020.1%1st Place
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4.1William and Mary0.480.1%1st Place
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4.46University of Maryland/Baltimore County0.240.1%1st Place
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3.42Ocean County College0.790.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casey Jackson | 14.3% | 16.9% | 14.4% | 18.2% | 15.0% | 12.2% | 9.0% |
| Chris Myers | 36.8% | 27.8% | 17.1% | 9.9% | 5.1% | 2.3% | 1.0% |
| Charles Herlihy | 6.4% | 5.7% | 9.4% | 12.3% | 14.4% | 21.1% | 30.7% |
| Matthias Chia | 6.1% | 8.5% | 11.3% | 11.0% | 16.6% | 21.9% | 24.6% |
| Rachel Pinkham | 10.2% | 12.4% | 17.2% | 16.4% | 17.0% | 14.5% | 12.3% |
| Adam Rybczynski | 9.0% | 9.5% | 14.5% | 14.3% | 15.9% | 19.5% | 17.3% |
| Liam Boyle | 17.2% | 19.2% | 16.1% | 17.9% | 16.0% | 8.5% | 5.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.