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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Drexel University1.64+1.42vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania0.02+2.86vs Predicted
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3William and Mary0.48+1.18vs Predicted
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4Ocean County College0.79-0.31vs Predicted
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5University of Maryland/Baltimore County0.10-0.20vs Predicted
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6Villanova University1.22-2.98vs Predicted
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7Penn State University-0.17-1.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.42Drexel University1.640.4%1st Place
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4.86University of Pennsylvania0.020.1%1st Place
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4.18William and Mary0.480.1%1st Place
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3.69Ocean County College0.790.1%1st Place
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4.8University of Maryland/Baltimore County0.100.1%1st Place
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3.02Villanova University1.220.2%1st Place
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5.04Penn State University-0.170.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Myers | 35.2% | 25.9% | 16.5% | 11.8% | 6.9% | 2.6% | 1.1% |
| Matthias Chia | 6.3% | 7.4% | 11.7% | 12.5% | 16.6% | 21.6% | 23.9% |
| Rachel Pinkham | 10.1% | 10.7% | 16.8% | 16.6% | 17.5% | 16.2% | 12.1% |
| Liam Boyle | 14.8% | 15.6% | 15.1% | 20.0% | 16.1% | 11.8% | 6.6% |
| Samuel Haksteen | 5.9% | 9.1% | 11.4% | 13.9% | 16.2% | 19.8% | 23.7% |
| Tracy Grim | 20.9% | 23.2% | 20.4% | 15.3% | 11.1% | 7.0% | 2.1% |
| Charles Herlihy | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 15.6% | 21.0% | 30.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.