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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania0.02+3.84vs Predicted
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2William and Mary0.48+2.15vs Predicted
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3Villanova University1.22-0.01vs Predicted
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4Drexel University1.64-1.57vs Predicted
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5University of Maryland/Baltimore County0.10-0.18vs Predicted
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6Ocean County College0.79-2.30vs Predicted
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7Penn State University-0.17-1.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.84University of Pennsylvania0.020.1%1st Place
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4.15William and Mary0.480.1%1st Place
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2.99Villanova University1.220.2%1st Place
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2.43Drexel University1.640.3%1st Place
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4.82University of Maryland/Baltimore County0.100.1%1st Place
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3.7Ocean County College0.790.1%1st Place
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5.08Penn State University-0.170.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthias Chia | 7.6% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 16.4% | 21.5% | 24.7% |
| Rachel Pinkham | 9.3% | 13.4% | 14.4% | 17.1% | 18.9% | 15.5% | 11.4% |
| Tracy Grim | 22.6% | 21.0% | 21.3% | 15.9% | 11.1% | 5.8% | 2.3% |
| Chris Myers | 34.3% | 25.0% | 18.2% | 11.7% | 8.2% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Samuel Haksteen | 5.5% | 8.8% | 11.0% | 14.6% | 16.6% | 20.2% | 23.3% |
| Liam Boyle | 14.1% | 16.1% | 16.5% | 18.7% | 15.5% | 12.1% | 7.0% |
| Charles Herlihy | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 10.7% | 13.3% | 23.0% | 30.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.