← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Queen's University1.18+1.23vs Predicted
-
2University of Toronto0.29+1.10vs Predicted
-
3Webb Institute1.13-0.70vs Predicted
-
4University of Rochester0.99-1.63vs Predicted
-
6University of Toronto0.29-2.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.23Queen's University1.180.3%1st Place
-
3.1University of Toronto0.290.1%1st Place
-
2.3Webb Institute1.130.3%1st Place
-
2.37University of Rochester0.990.3%1st Place
-
3.1University of Toronto0.290.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zachary Baum | 31.2% | 29.1% | 24.8% | 14.9% | 0.0% |
| Oguz Aras | 12.3% | 14.7% | 23.3% | 49.7% | 0.0% |
| James Codega | 29.1% | 28.2% | 26.7% | 16.0% | 0.0% |
| Kathryn Luly | 27.4% | 28.0% | 25.2% | 19.4% | 0.0% |
| Oguz Aras | 12.3% | 14.7% | 23.3% | 49.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.