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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University1.22+6.03vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.81+4.92vs Predicted
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3Fordham University0.71+6.56vs Predicted
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4Boston University1.14+2.32vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College-0.13+6.99vs Predicted
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6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29+3.46vs Predicted
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7George Washington University0.93+0.85vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida0.99+0.10vs Predicted
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9Yale University1.57-3.72vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont0.48-1.18vs Predicted
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11Tufts University-0.25+0.79vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland0.67-3.41vs Predicted
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13College of Charleston1.26-6.86vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island0.99-6.66vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.32-5.30vs Predicted
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16Boston College-0.06-4.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.03Northeastern University1.227.4%1st Place
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6.92Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.818.9%1st Place
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9.56Fordham University0.714.0%1st Place
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6.32Boston University1.1410.2%1st Place
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11.99Connecticut College-0.132.5%1st Place
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9.46U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.293.8%1st Place
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7.85George Washington University0.936.2%1st Place
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8.1University of South Florida0.995.6%1st Place
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5.28Yale University1.5714.6%1st Place
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8.82University of Vermont0.484.6%1st Place
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11.79Tufts University-0.251.9%1st Place
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8.59St. Mary's College of Maryland0.675.2%1st Place
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6.14College of Charleston1.2610.7%1st Place
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7.34University of Rhode Island0.997.6%1st Place
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9.7U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.323.8%1st Place
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11.12Boston College-0.062.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eva Ermlich | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Emma Wang | 8.9% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Lizzie Cochran | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 6.2% |
| Tiare Sierra | 10.2% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.8% |
| Lilly Saffer | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 11.2% | 15.8% | 25.6% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 6.3% |
| Avery Canavan | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.1% |
| Kalea Woodard | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 1.9% |
| Audrey Foley | 14.6% | 11.3% | 11.3% | 11.8% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Audrey Commerford | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 4.5% |
| Greta Traver | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 10.6% | 15.7% | 22.4% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 2.9% |
| Emily Alfortish | 10.7% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 1.4% |
| Caroline Odell | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 7.5% |
| Kate Joslin | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 14.5% | 16.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.