← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.48+9.44vs Predicted
-
2Harvard University4.17+5.56vs Predicted
-
3Salve Regina University3.84+6.03vs Predicted
-
4University of Vermont3.37+6.57vs Predicted
-
5Brown University4.30+1.94vs Predicted
-
6Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.45+0.34vs Predicted
-
7College of Charleston3.93+1.42vs Predicted
-
8Boston College4.39-1.44vs Predicted
-
9Connecticut College2.96+3.30vs Predicted
-
10U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.58+0.13vs Predicted
-
11University of Miami3.69-1.45vs Predicted
-
12Tufts University3.56-1.68vs Predicted
-
13Roger Williams University4.71-7.58vs Predicted
-
14Dartmouth College3.62-4.61vs Predicted
-
15Washington College3.65-5.47vs Predicted
-
16Princeton University1.10+0.81vs Predicted
-
17Yale University3.29-5.76vs Predicted
-
18U. S. Naval Academy3.38-7.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
10.44St. Mary's College of Maryland3.480.0%1st Place
-
7.56Harvard University4.170.1%1st Place
-
9.03Salve Regina University3.840.0%1st Place
-
10.57University of Vermont3.370.0%1st Place
-
6.94Brown University4.300.1%1st Place
-
6.34Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.450.1%1st Place
-
8.42College of Charleston3.930.1%1st Place
-
6.56Boston College4.390.1%1st Place
-
12.3Connecticut College2.960.0%1st Place
-
10.13U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.580.0%1st Place
-
9.55University of Miami3.690.1%1st Place
-
10.32Tufts University3.560.0%1st Place
-
5.42Roger Williams University4.710.1%1st Place
-
9.39Dartmouth College3.620.0%1st Place
-
9.53Washington College3.650.0%1st Place
-
16.81Princeton University1.100.0%1st Place
-
11.24Yale University3.290.0%1st Place
-
10.47U. S. Naval Academy3.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Hale | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 2.3% |
| John Stokes | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Patrick Clancy | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 0.7% |
| Pete Hazelett | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 2.9% |
| Tommy Fink | 8.8% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| David Thompson | 10.4% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Zeke Horowitz | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| Evan Cooke | 9.5% | 10.6% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Heussler | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 13.1% | 17.1% | 5.2% |
| Ian Oviatt | 4.9% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 1.8% |
| David Hernandez | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 0.8% |
| Nicolas Russo-Larsson | 4.4% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 1.9% |
| Alec Anderson | 13.9% | 11.8% | 12.1% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bernie Roesler | 4.6% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 1.0% |
| Michael Whitford | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 1.0% |
| Gavin Schlissel | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 8.8% | 74.6% |
| Emily Billing | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 11.4% | 10.3% | 4.7% |
| Taylor Vann | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 2.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.