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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.99+4.23vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University-1.38+3.64vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University1.53+2.72vs Predicted
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4University of Maryland0.75+4.09vs Predicted
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5University of North Texas1.77-0.46vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida1.54-0.69vs Predicted
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7University of Texas0.41+5.41vs Predicted
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8Christopher Newport University0.83+0.43vs Predicted
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9Clemson University-0.17+1.21vs Predicted
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10University of South Carolina0.63-1.62vs Predicted
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11Duke University-0.57+1.32vs Predicted
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12Georgia Institute of Technology-0.43+0.68vs Predicted
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13The Citadel-0.97+1.13vs Predicted
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14Embry-Riddle University-0.52-1.30vs Predicted
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15University of Virginia0.02-4.16vs Predicted
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16Florida Institute of Technology0.73-8.14vs Predicted
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17University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.52-3.67vs Predicted
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18University of Georgia-1.97-1.26vs Predicted
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19University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.61-2.26vs Predicted
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20William and Mary-2.95-1.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.23North Carolina State University1.9914.3%1st Place
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5.64Jacksonville University-1.3810.7%1st Place
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5.72North Carolina State University1.5310.0%1st Place
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8.09University of Maryland0.755.6%1st Place
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4.54University of North Texas1.7716.9%1st Place
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5.31University of South Florida1.5411.7%1st Place
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12.41University of Texas0.412.0%1st Place
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8.43Christopher Newport University0.834.5%1st Place
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10.21Clemson University-0.173.2%1st Place
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8.38University of South Carolina0.634.8%1st Place
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12.32Duke University-0.572.5%1st Place
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12.68Georgia Institute of Technology-0.431.7%1st Place
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14.13The Citadel-0.971.2%1st Place
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12.7Embry-Riddle University-0.521.1%1st Place
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10.84University of Virginia0.022.9%1st Place
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7.86Florida Institute of Technology0.735.2%1st Place
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13.33University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.521.2%1st Place
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16.74University of Georgia-1.970.3%1st Place
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16.74University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.610.3%1st Place
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18.7William and Mary-2.950.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Harris | 14.3% | 12.3% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Allen | 10.7% | 11.4% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Usher | 10.0% | 9.2% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Bisson | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Dutch Byerly | 16.9% | 14.4% | 13.4% | 11.7% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eden Nykamp | 11.7% | 12.0% | 12.2% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Karina Bertelsmann | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 6.6% | 2.9% | 0.5% |
| Daniel Hodges | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Samantha Bialek | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Ian Street | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Natalie Aramendia | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Kyle Meyhoefer | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 3.3% | 0.5% |
| Nicholas DeConto | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 12.2% | 12.2% | 9.7% | 3.0% |
| Zechariah Frantz | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 0.7% |
| Connor Lothrop | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Brendan Smucker | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Vance | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 6.3% | 1.1% |
| Katie Kellam | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 10.2% | 16.1% | 25.3% | 17.2% |
| Nevin Williams | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 11.2% | 17.2% | 26.9% | 15.3% |
| Gabrielle Buffaloe | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 8.0% | 16.8% | 60.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.