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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University-1.38+4.41vs Predicted
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2University of North Texas1.77+2.49vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University1.53+2.52vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University1.99+1.18vs Predicted
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5University of South Carolina0.63+3.58vs Predicted
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6Christopher Newport University0.83+2.44vs Predicted
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7University of Maryland0.75+0.88vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida1.54-2.61vs Predicted
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9University of Texas0.41+3.34vs Predicted
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10Clemson University-0.17+0.46vs Predicted
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11Florida Institute of Technology0.73-2.94vs Predicted
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12Embry-Riddle University-0.52+0.56vs Predicted
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13University of Virginia0.02-2.21vs Predicted
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14Georgia Institute of Technology-0.43-1.21vs Predicted
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15The Citadel-0.97-0.92vs Predicted
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16Duke University-0.57-3.59vs Predicted
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17University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.52-3.56vs Predicted
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18University of Georgia-1.97-1.15vs Predicted
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19University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.61-2.42vs Predicted
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20William and Mary-2.95-1.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.41Jacksonville University-1.3812.1%1st Place
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4.49University of North Texas1.7717.2%1st Place
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5.52North Carolina State University1.5311.3%1st Place
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5.18North Carolina State University1.9912.2%1st Place
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8.58University of South Carolina0.634.1%1st Place
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8.44Christopher Newport University0.835.6%1st Place
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7.88University of Maryland0.755.5%1st Place
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5.39University of South Florida1.5411.4%1st Place
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12.34University of Texas0.411.7%1st Place
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10.46Clemson University-0.173.0%1st Place
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8.06Florida Institute of Technology0.734.4%1st Place
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12.56Embry-Riddle University-0.521.8%1st Place
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10.79University of Virginia0.022.9%1st Place
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12.79Georgia Institute of Technology-0.431.8%1st Place
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14.08The Citadel-0.970.9%1st Place
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12.41Duke University-0.572.1%1st Place
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13.44University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.520.9%1st Place
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16.85University of Georgia-1.970.4%1st Place
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16.58University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.610.5%1st Place
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18.76William and Mary-2.950.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Allen | 12.1% | 12.0% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dutch Byerly | 17.2% | 15.0% | 12.8% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Usher | 11.3% | 10.2% | 11.7% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Harris | 12.2% | 12.1% | 12.5% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Street | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Hodges | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Michael Bisson | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eden Nykamp | 11.4% | 11.3% | 10.7% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Karina Bertelsmann | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 3.2% | 0.6% |
| Samantha Bialek | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Brendan Smucker | 4.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Zechariah Frantz | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 3.5% | 0.9% |
| Connor Lothrop | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Kyle Meyhoefer | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 7.4% | 4.1% | 0.8% |
| Nicholas DeConto | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 13.9% | 12.8% | 9.2% | 2.0% |
| Natalie Aramendia | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 6.3% | 3.2% | 0.9% |
| Zachary Vance | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 12.6% | 10.1% | 5.5% | 1.5% |
| Katie Kellam | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 10.1% | 16.5% | 27.6% | 17.3% |
| Nevin Williams | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 17.5% | 25.8% | 14.4% |
| Gabrielle Buffaloe | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 8.0% | 15.8% | 61.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.