← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Webb Institute1.25+0.99vs Predicted
-
2University of Rochester0.09+1.06vs Predicted
-
3University of Toronto0.18+0.02vs Predicted
-
4Queen's University1.29-2.07vs Predicted
-
5University of Toronto0.18-1.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.99Webb Institute1.250.4%1st Place
-
3.06University of Rochester0.090.1%1st Place
-
3.02University of Toronto0.180.1%1st Place
-
1.93Queen's University1.290.4%1st Place
-
3.02University of Toronto0.180.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Morrissey | 36.9% | 34.2% | 21.9% | 7.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Pavlos | 10.7% | 16.5% | 28.6% | 44.2% | 0.0% |
| Katie Harris | 12.5% | 15.2% | 30.0% | 42.3% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Aulthouse | 39.9% | 34.1% | 19.5% | 6.5% | 0.0% |
| Katie Harris | 12.5% | 15.2% | 30.0% | 42.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.