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📊 Prediction Accuracy
45.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.99+4.37vs Predicted
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2University of North Texas1.77+2.62vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida1.54+2.17vs Predicted
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4University of Maryland0.75+4.08vs Predicted
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5University of Texas0.41+7.52vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University-1.38-0.40vs Predicted
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7University of South Carolina0.63+1.68vs Predicted
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8Florida Institute of Technology0.73-0.18vs Predicted
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9Christopher Newport University0.83-0.52vs Predicted
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10Clemson University-0.17+0.48vs Predicted
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11North Carolina State University1.53-5.32vs Predicted
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12University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.52+1.41vs Predicted
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13Embry-Riddle University-0.52-0.31vs Predicted
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14Georgia Institute of Technology-0.08-2.56vs Predicted
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15Duke University-0.57-2.39vs Predicted
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16University of Virginia0.02-5.10vs Predicted
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17The Citadel-0.97-2.96vs Predicted
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18University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.61-1.24vs Predicted
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19University of Georgia-1.97-2.05vs Predicted
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20William and Mary-2.95-1.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.37North Carolina State University1.9911.7%1st Place
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4.62University of North Texas1.7715.3%1st Place
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5.17University of South Florida1.5413.8%1st Place
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8.08University of Maryland0.755.8%1st Place
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12.52University of Texas0.411.8%1st Place
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5.6Jacksonville University-1.3810.9%1st Place
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8.68University of South Carolina0.634.7%1st Place
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7.82Florida Institute of Technology0.735.8%1st Place
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8.48Christopher Newport University0.834.7%1st Place
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10.48Clemson University-0.172.6%1st Place
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5.68North Carolina State University1.5310.4%1st Place
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13.41University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.521.4%1st Place
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12.69Embry-Riddle University-0.521.7%1st Place
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11.44Georgia Institute of Technology-0.082.8%1st Place
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12.61Duke University-0.572.1%1st Place
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10.9University of Virginia0.022.4%1st Place
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14.04The Citadel-0.971.4%1st Place
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16.76University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.610.4%1st Place
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16.95University of Georgia-1.970.4%1st Place
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18.71William and Mary-2.950.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Harris | 11.7% | 12.3% | 11.4% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dutch Byerly | 15.3% | 14.7% | 12.8% | 12.2% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eden Nykamp | 13.8% | 11.6% | 13.0% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Bisson | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Karina Bertelsmann | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 6.9% | 3.0% | 0.6% |
| Emily Allen | 10.9% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Street | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Smucker | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Hodges | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Samantha Bialek | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Jacob Usher | 10.4% | 11.7% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Vance | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 12.7% | 12.2% | 10.0% | 5.9% | 1.4% |
| Zechariah Frantz | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 11.8% | 11.1% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 3.6% | 0.7% |
| Cole Woerner | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Natalie Aramendia | 2.1% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 8.0% | 3.8% | 0.7% |
| Connor Lothrop | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas DeConto | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 13.0% | 14.0% | 8.6% | 3.4% |
| Nevin Williams | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 9.4% | 18.6% | 25.2% | 17.2% |
| Katie Kellam | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 9.4% | 16.9% | 30.0% | 16.1% |
| Gabrielle Buffaloe | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 4.8% | 8.3% | 16.6% | 59.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.