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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University0.93+6.87vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.81+5.00vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island0.99+4.11vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston1.26+2.29vs Predicted
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5Yale University1.57+0.34vs Predicted
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6Boston University1.14+0.28vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University1.22-0.14vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29+1.57vs Predicted
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9Fordham University0.71+0.66vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland0.67-1.32vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont0.48-2.17vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College-0.13-0.10vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida0.99-4.93vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.32-4.21vs Predicted
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15Tufts University-0.25-3.22vs Predicted
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16Boston College-0.06-5.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.87George Washington University0.936.2%1st Place
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7.0Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.817.6%1st Place
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7.11University of Rhode Island0.998.5%1st Place
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6.29College of Charleston1.268.9%1st Place
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5.34Yale University1.5713.3%1st Place
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6.28Boston University1.1410.2%1st Place
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6.86Northeastern University1.2210.1%1st Place
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9.57U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.293.9%1st Place
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9.66Fordham University0.713.6%1st Place
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8.68St. Mary's College of Maryland0.675.9%1st Place
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8.83University of Vermont0.484.9%1st Place
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11.9Connecticut College-0.131.8%1st Place
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8.07University of South Florida0.996.3%1st Place
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9.79U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.323.9%1st Place
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11.78Tufts University-0.252.2%1st Place
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10.97Boston College-0.062.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avery Canavan | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 2.2% |
| Emma Wang | 7.6% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 8.5% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 0.9% |
| Emily Alfortish | 8.9% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Audrey Foley | 13.3% | 10.9% | 12.8% | 11.7% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Tiare Sierra | 10.2% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 11.1% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% |
| Eva Ermlich | 10.1% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 5.5% |
| Lizzie Cochran | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 7.0% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 4.0% |
| Audrey Commerford | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 4.2% |
| Lilly Saffer | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 15.0% | 25.0% |
| Kalea Woodard | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 2.4% |
| Caroline Odell | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 8.1% |
| Greta Traver | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 10.6% | 15.5% | 22.7% |
| Kate Joslin | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 13.1% | 15.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.