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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University3.84+8.00vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.62+7.94vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University4.71+2.61vs Predicted
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4Tufts University3.56+5.83vs Predicted
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5Harvard University4.17+2.44vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston3.93+2.42vs Predicted
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7Boston College4.39-0.42vs Predicted
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8University of Miami3.69+1.30vs Predicted
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9Washington College3.65+0.55vs Predicted
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10Yale University3.29+1.27vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.58-1.02vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland3.48-1.33vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College2.96-0.87vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.45-7.80vs Predicted
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15Brown University4.30-8.18vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont3.37-5.22vs Predicted
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17U. S. Naval Academy3.38-6.22vs Predicted
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18Princeton University1.10-1.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.0Salve Regina University3.840.1%1st Place
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9.94Dartmouth College3.620.0%1st Place
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5.61Roger Williams University4.710.1%1st Place
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9.83Tufts University3.560.0%1st Place
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7.44Harvard University4.170.1%1st Place
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8.42College of Charleston3.930.1%1st Place
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6.58Boston College4.390.1%1st Place
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9.3University of Miami3.690.0%1st Place
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9.55Washington College3.650.0%1st Place
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11.27Yale University3.290.0%1st Place
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9.98U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.580.1%1st Place
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10.67St. Mary's College of Maryland3.480.0%1st Place
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12.13Connecticut College2.960.0%1st Place
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6.2Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.450.1%1st Place
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6.82Brown University4.300.1%1st Place
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10.78University of Vermont3.370.0%1st Place
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10.78U. S. Naval Academy3.380.0%1st Place
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16.71Princeton University1.100.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Clancy | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 0.7% |
| Bernie Roesler | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 0.9% |
| Alec Anderson | 11.8% | 12.0% | 10.1% | 11.4% | 10.0% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nicolas Russo-Larsson | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 2.1% |
| John Stokes | 8.3% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Zeke Horowitz | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| Evan Cooke | 9.6% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| David Hernandez | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 1.0% |
| Michael Whitford | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 1.1% |
| Emily Billing | 4.1% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 11.4% | 3.1% |
| Ian Oviatt | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 2.1% |
| Thomas Hale | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 2.2% |
| Brendan Heussler | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 13.0% | 15.1% | 6.5% |
| David Thompson | 10.2% | 12.2% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Tommy Fink | 9.1% | 7.5% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Pete Hazelett | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 2.3% |
| Taylor Vann | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 2.5% |
| Gavin Schlissel | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 8.6% | 74.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.