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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of North Texas1.77+3.51vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University-1.38+3.44vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University1.99+2.19vs Predicted
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4Florida Institute of Technology0.73+3.79vs Predicted
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5Christopher Newport University0.83+3.30vs Predicted
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6University of Texas0.41+6.27vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida1.54-1.57vs Predicted
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8North Carolina State University1.53-2.27vs Predicted
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9University of South Carolina0.63-0.55vs Predicted
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10Georgia Institute of Technology-0.43+2.69vs Predicted
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11University of Virginia0.02-0.33vs Predicted
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12Clemson University-0.17-1.70vs Predicted
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13The Citadel-0.97+1.18vs Predicted
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14University of Maryland0.75-5.83vs Predicted
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15Duke University-0.57-2.69vs Predicted
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16University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.52-2.99vs Predicted
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17Embry-Riddle University-0.52-4.50vs Predicted
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18University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.61-1.64vs Predicted
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19University of Georgia-1.97-2.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.51University of North Texas1.7717.8%1st Place
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5.44Jacksonville University-1.3811.6%1st Place
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5.19North Carolina State University1.9913.4%1st Place
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7.79Florida Institute of Technology0.735.9%1st Place
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8.3Christopher Newport University0.835.5%1st Place
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12.27University of Texas0.411.3%1st Place
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5.43University of South Florida1.5410.8%1st Place
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5.73North Carolina State University1.5311.0%1st Place
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8.45University of South Carolina0.635.2%1st Place
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12.69Georgia Institute of Technology-0.431.2%1st Place
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10.67University of Virginia0.022.4%1st Place
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10.3Clemson University-0.172.7%1st Place
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14.18The Citadel-0.970.9%1st Place
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8.17University of Maryland0.754.5%1st Place
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12.31Duke University-0.571.8%1st Place
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13.01University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.521.2%1st Place
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12.5Embry-Riddle University-0.521.9%1st Place
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16.36University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.610.5%1st Place
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16.71University of Georgia-1.970.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dutch Byerly | 17.8% | 14.1% | 13.3% | 11.7% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Allen | 11.6% | 11.1% | 11.3% | 11.4% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Harris | 13.4% | 11.7% | 11.3% | 11.7% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Smucker | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Daniel Hodges | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Karina Bertelsmann | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 2.5% |
| Eden Nykamp | 10.8% | 12.1% | 11.7% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Usher | 11.0% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Street | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Meyhoefer | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 8.2% | 3.2% |
| Connor Lothrop | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Samantha Bialek | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 0.3% |
| Nicholas DeConto | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 11.4% | 14.0% | 14.0% | 8.7% |
| Michael Bisson | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Natalie Aramendia | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 7.8% | 2.5% |
| Zachary Vance | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 11.9% | 9.1% | 4.5% |
| Zechariah Frantz | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 3.1% |
| Nevin Williams | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 12.4% | 21.2% | 34.5% |
| Katie Kellam | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 21.3% | 39.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.