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📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida1.54+4.45vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University-1.38+3.37vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University1.99+2.01vs Predicted
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4University of Virginia0.02+6.76vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University1.53+0.57vs Predicted
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6University of North Texas1.77-1.38vs Predicted
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7University of Texas0.41+5.33vs Predicted
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8Florida Institute of Technology0.73-0.34vs Predicted
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9Christopher Newport University0.83-0.65vs Predicted
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10Clemson University-0.17+0.19vs Predicted
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11University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.52+2.32vs Predicted
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12University of South Carolina0.63-3.57vs Predicted
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13University of Maryland0.75-4.97vs Predicted
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14Georgia Institute of Technology-0.43-1.56vs Predicted
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15Embry-Riddle University-0.52-2.37vs Predicted
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16Duke University-0.57-3.44vs Predicted
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17The Citadel-0.97-2.92vs Predicted
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18University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.61-1.43vs Predicted
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19University of Georgia-1.97-2.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.45University of South Florida1.5410.9%1st Place
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5.37Jacksonville University-1.3813.5%1st Place
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5.01North Carolina State University1.9913.1%1st Place
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10.76University of Virginia0.023.1%1st Place
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5.57North Carolina State University1.5310.8%1st Place
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4.62University of North Texas1.7715.7%1st Place
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12.33University of Texas0.412.1%1st Place
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7.66Florida Institute of Technology0.736.4%1st Place
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8.35Christopher Newport University0.834.7%1st Place
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10.19Clemson University-0.173.2%1st Place
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13.32University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.521.3%1st Place
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8.43University of South Carolina0.634.6%1st Place
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8.03University of Maryland0.754.6%1st Place
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12.44Georgia Institute of Technology-0.431.5%1st Place
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12.63Embry-Riddle University-0.521.6%1st Place
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12.56Duke University-0.571.7%1st Place
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14.08The Citadel-0.970.9%1st Place
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16.57University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.610.3%1st Place
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16.64University of Georgia-1.970.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eden Nykamp | 10.9% | 10.7% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 11.7% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Allen | 13.5% | 13.4% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Harris | 13.1% | 13.8% | 12.2% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Lothrop | 3.1% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Jacob Usher | 10.8% | 12.6% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dutch Byerly | 15.7% | 13.8% | 13.9% | 11.7% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Karina Bertelsmann | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 2.4% |
| Brendan Smucker | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Hodges | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Samantha Bialek | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Zachary Vance | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 4.5% |
| Ian Street | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Michael Bisson | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Meyhoefer | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 7.0% | 2.5% |
| Zechariah Frantz | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 7.1% | 3.2% |
| Natalie Aramendia | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 6.3% | 2.7% |
| Nicholas DeConto | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 11.7% | 14.8% | 13.8% | 8.0% |
| Nevin Williams | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 22.6% | 36.5% |
| Katie Kellam | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 11.2% | 19.6% | 38.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.