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📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University-1.38+4.29vs Predicted
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2University of Maryland0.75+6.11vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University0.83+5.51vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University1.53+1.63vs Predicted
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5University of North Texas1.77-0.50vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida1.54-0.51vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University1.99-1.96vs Predicted
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8University of South Carolina0.63+0.75vs Predicted
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9Florida Institute of Technology0.73-1.20vs Predicted
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10University of Virginia0.02+0.71vs Predicted
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11University of Texas0.41+1.18vs Predicted
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12Clemson University-0.17-1.83vs Predicted
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13Georgia Institute of Technology-0.43-0.27vs Predicted
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14The Citadel-0.97-0.03vs Predicted
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15Embry-Riddle University-0.52-2.50vs Predicted
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16University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.52-2.83vs Predicted
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17University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.61-0.56vs Predicted
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18Duke University-0.57-5.62vs Predicted
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19University of Georgia-1.97-2.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.29Jacksonville University-1.3812.8%1st Place
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8.11University of Maryland0.754.6%1st Place
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8.51Christopher Newport University0.834.5%1st Place
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5.63North Carolina State University1.5311.2%1st Place
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4.5University of North Texas1.7716.5%1st Place
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5.49University of South Florida1.5410.4%1st Place
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5.04North Carolina State University1.9913.8%1st Place
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8.75University of South Carolina0.634.2%1st Place
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7.8Florida Institute of Technology0.736.3%1st Place
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10.71University of Virginia0.023.0%1st Place
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12.18University of Texas0.411.7%1st Place
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10.17Clemson University-0.172.6%1st Place
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12.73Georgia Institute of Technology-0.431.4%1st Place
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13.97The Citadel-0.970.7%1st Place
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12.5Embry-Riddle University-0.522.1%1st Place
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13.17University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.521.8%1st Place
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16.44University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.610.4%1st Place
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12.38Duke University-0.571.7%1st Place
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16.62University of Georgia-1.970.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Allen | 12.8% | 11.3% | 12.3% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Bisson | 4.6% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Daniel Hodges | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Usher | 11.2% | 11.4% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dutch Byerly | 16.5% | 14.1% | 14.3% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eden Nykamp | 10.4% | 11.1% | 11.3% | 11.4% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Harris | 13.8% | 13.6% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ian Street | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Brendan Smucker | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Connor Lothrop | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 0.6% |
| Karina Bertelsmann | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 5.7% | 2.0% |
| Samantha Bialek | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Kyle Meyhoefer | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 11.6% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 3.4% |
| Nicholas DeConto | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 12.6% | 11.8% | 14.6% | 8.8% |
| Zechariah Frantz | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 12.1% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 3.4% |
| Zachary Vance | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 11.5% | 12.8% | 10.2% | 4.9% |
| Nevin Williams | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 11.6% | 22.3% | 34.6% |
| Natalie Aramendia | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 6.6% | 2.7% |
| Katie Kellam | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 10.5% | 19.9% | 39.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.