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📊 Prediction Accuracy
45.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.99+4.13vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University-1.38+3.43vs Predicted
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3University of Maryland0.75+5.28vs Predicted
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4University of Texas0.41+8.43vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida1.54+0.36vs Predicted
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6Christopher Newport University0.83+2.66vs Predicted
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7University of North Texas1.77-2.37vs Predicted
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8North Carolina State University1.53-2.29vs Predicted
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9Florida Institute of Technology0.73-1.06vs Predicted
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10University of South Carolina0.63-1.23vs Predicted
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11Clemson University-0.17-0.73vs Predicted
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12University of Georgia-1.97+4.88vs Predicted
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13Embry-Riddle University-0.52-0.31vs Predicted
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14University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.52-0.56vs Predicted
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15University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.61+1.80vs Predicted
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16The Citadel-0.97-1.65vs Predicted
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17Georgia Institute of Technology-0.08-5.75vs Predicted
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18University of Virginia0.02-7.23vs Predicted
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19Duke University-0.57-6.43vs Predicted
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20William and Mary-2.95-1.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.13North Carolina State University1.9912.8%1st Place
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5.43Jacksonville University-1.3812.3%1st Place
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8.28University of Maryland0.755.2%1st Place
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12.43University of Texas0.412.1%1st Place
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5.36University of South Florida1.5411.9%1st Place
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8.66Christopher Newport University0.835.7%1st Place
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4.63University of North Texas1.7715.0%1st Place
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5.71North Carolina State University1.5310.7%1st Place
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7.94Florida Institute of Technology0.736.5%1st Place
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8.77University of South Carolina0.634.2%1st Place
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10.27Clemson University-0.173.2%1st Place
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16.88University of Georgia-1.970.4%1st Place
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12.69Embry-Riddle University-0.521.7%1st Place
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13.44University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.521.1%1st Place
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16.8University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.610.2%1st Place
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14.35The Citadel-0.970.8%1st Place
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11.25Georgia Institute of Technology-0.082.1%1st Place
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10.77University of Virginia0.022.8%1st Place
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12.57Duke University-0.571.2%1st Place
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18.65William and Mary-2.950.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Harris | 12.8% | 13.2% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Allen | 12.3% | 12.3% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Bisson | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Karina Bertelsmann | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 7.2% | 3.0% | 0.5% |
| Eden Nykamp | 11.9% | 12.6% | 12.3% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Hodges | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Dutch Byerly | 15.0% | 14.7% | 12.9% | 13.2% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Usher | 10.7% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Smucker | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ian Street | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Samantha Bialek | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Katie Kellam | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 10.1% | 17.1% | 27.7% | 16.9% |
| Zechariah Frantz | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 4.4% | 0.8% |
| Zachary Vance | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 12.2% | 10.3% | 6.2% | 1.7% |
| Nevin Williams | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 10.0% | 18.5% | 24.9% | 17.0% |
| Nicholas DeConto | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 12.2% | 12.8% | 14.8% | 9.4% | 2.1% |
| Cole Woerner | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Connor Lothrop | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Natalie Aramendia | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 6.9% | 3.7% | 0.7% |
| Gabrielle Buffaloe | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 6.8% | 17.0% | 59.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.