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📊 Prediction Accuracy
45.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.99+4.36vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University0.83+6.55vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University-1.38+2.34vs Predicted
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4University of North Texas1.77+0.58vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida1.54+0.44vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University1.53-0.21vs Predicted
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7University of Maryland0.75+1.23vs Predicted
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8University of South Carolina0.63+0.66vs Predicted
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9University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.52+4.43vs Predicted
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10University of Texas0.41+2.65vs Predicted
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11Clemson University-0.17-0.67vs Predicted
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12The Citadel-0.97+2.39vs Predicted
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13University of Virginia0.02-2.33vs Predicted
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14Duke University-0.57-1.34vs Predicted
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15Georgia Institute of Technology-0.08-3.79vs Predicted
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16University of Georgia-1.97+0.89vs Predicted
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17Florida Institute of Technology0.73-9.06vs Predicted
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18Embry-Riddle University-0.52-5.41vs Predicted
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19William and Mary-2.95-0.33vs Predicted
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20University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.61-3.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.36North Carolina State University1.9911.8%1st Place
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8.55Christopher Newport University0.834.7%1st Place
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5.34Jacksonville University-1.3813.4%1st Place
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4.58University of North Texas1.7715.8%1st Place
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5.44University of South Florida1.5411.6%1st Place
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5.79North Carolina State University1.5310.8%1st Place
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8.23University of Maryland0.754.9%1st Place
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8.66University of South Carolina0.634.5%1st Place
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13.43University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.521.6%1st Place
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12.65University of Texas0.411.8%1st Place
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10.33Clemson University-0.173.1%1st Place
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14.39The Citadel-0.971.1%1st Place
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10.67University of Virginia0.022.9%1st Place
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12.66Duke University-0.571.4%1st Place
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11.21Georgia Institute of Technology-0.082.4%1st Place
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16.89University of Georgia-1.970.4%1st Place
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7.94Florida Institute of Technology0.735.8%1st Place
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12.59Embry-Riddle University-0.521.5%1st Place
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18.67William and Mary-2.950.1%1st Place
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16.63University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.610.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Harris | 11.8% | 11.9% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Hodges | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emily Allen | 13.4% | 12.4% | 11.1% | 11.0% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dutch Byerly | 15.8% | 15.1% | 13.0% | 11.6% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eden Nykamp | 11.6% | 11.8% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Usher | 10.8% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Michael Bisson | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ian Street | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Vance | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 12.4% | 11.3% | 5.7% | 1.7% |
| Karina Bertelsmann | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 7.8% | 3.5% | 0.7% |
| Samantha Bialek | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas DeConto | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 13.4% | 14.8% | 9.8% | 2.8% |
| Connor Lothrop | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Natalie Aramendia | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 4.3% | 0.7% |
| Cole Woerner | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Katie Kellam | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 10.7% | 16.5% | 27.1% | 18.1% |
| Brendan Smucker | 5.8% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Zechariah Frantz | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 7.5% | 4.3% | 0.9% |
| Gabrielle Buffaloe | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 7.7% | 16.7% | 59.7% |
| Nevin Williams | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 11.2% | 15.8% | 25.4% | 15.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.