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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Webb Institute1.25+1.01vs Predicted
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2University of Toronto0.18+1.02vs Predicted
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3University of Rochester0.19+0.04vs Predicted
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4Queen's University1.29-2.06vs Predicted
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5University of Toronto0.18-1.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.01Webb Institute1.250.4%1st Place
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3.02University of Toronto0.180.1%1st Place
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3.04University of Rochester0.190.1%1st Place
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1.94Queen's University1.290.4%1st Place
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3.02University of Toronto0.180.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Morrissey | 36.8% | 33.5% | 22.0% | 7.7% | 0.0% |
| Katie Harris | 11.3% | 17.2% | 29.8% | 41.7% | 0.0% |
| Kelly Rousmaniere | 12.4% | 15.0% | 29.1% | 43.5% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Aulthouse | 39.5% | 34.3% | 19.1% | 7.1% | 0.0% |
| Katie Harris | 11.3% | 17.2% | 29.8% | 41.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.