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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Maryland0.75+6.74vs Predicted
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2University of North Texas1.77+2.50vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University1.99+2.05vs Predicted
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4University of Texas0.41+8.19vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida1.54+0.29vs Predicted
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6University of Virginia-0.72+6.83vs Predicted
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7Florida Institute of Technology0.73+0.68vs Predicted
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8Georgia Institute of Technology-0.43+4.53vs Predicted
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9North Carolina State University1.53-3.47vs Predicted
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10Jacksonville University-1.38-4.43vs Predicted
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11Duke University-0.57+1.30vs Predicted
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12University of South Carolina0.63-3.60vs Predicted
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13Embry-Riddle University-0.52-0.75vs Predicted
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14University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.52-1.00vs Predicted
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15Christopher Newport University0.83-6.85vs Predicted
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16Clemson University-0.17-5.82vs Predicted
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17University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.61-0.64vs Predicted
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18The Citadel-0.97-4.09vs Predicted
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19University of Georgia-1.97-2.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.74University of Maryland0.755.5%1st Place
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4.5University of North Texas1.7716.2%1st Place
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5.05North Carolina State University1.9912.8%1st Place
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12.19University of Texas0.411.8%1st Place
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5.29University of South Florida1.5412.7%1st Place
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12.83University of Virginia-0.721.5%1st Place
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7.68Florida Institute of Technology0.735.3%1st Place
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12.53Georgia Institute of Technology-0.431.2%1st Place
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5.53North Carolina State University1.5311.6%1st Place
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5.57Jacksonville University-1.3811.2%1st Place
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12.3Duke University-0.571.6%1st Place
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8.4University of South Carolina0.634.9%1st Place
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12.25Embry-Riddle University-0.521.8%1st Place
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13.0University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.522.1%1st Place
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8.15Christopher Newport University0.835.3%1st Place
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10.18Clemson University-0.172.6%1st Place
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16.36University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.610.4%1st Place
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13.91The Citadel-0.971.1%1st Place
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16.52University of Georgia-1.970.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
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Michael Bisson | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Dutch Byerly | 16.2% | 14.9% | 14.0% | 11.6% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Scott Harris | 12.8% | 13.7% | 11.9% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Karina Bertelsmann | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 5.9% | 2.2% |
Eden Nykamp | 12.7% | 12.2% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Lydia Sweeney | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 4.2% |
Brendan Smucker | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Kyle Meyhoefer | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 6.3% | 3.1% |
Jacob Usher | 11.6% | 11.7% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Emily Allen | 11.2% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Natalie Aramendia | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 11.5% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 2.7% |
Ian Street | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
Zechariah Frantz | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 2.6% |
Zachary Vance | 2.1% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 12.2% | 9.2% | 3.8% |
Daniel Hodges | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Samantha Bialek | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
Nevin Williams | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 11.5% | 21.9% | 33.7% |
Nicholas DeConto | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 13.5% | 13.2% | 8.1% |
Katie Kellam | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 19.1% | 39.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.