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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Toronto0.18+1.96vs Predicted
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2University of Toronto0.18+0.96vs Predicted
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3Queen's University1.29-1.03vs Predicted
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4University of Rochester0.09-0.93vs Predicted
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5Webb Institute1.25-3.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.96University of Toronto0.180.1%1st Place
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2.96University of Toronto0.180.1%1st Place
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1.97Queen's University1.290.4%1st Place
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3.07University of Rochester0.090.1%1st Place
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1.99Webb Institute1.250.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katie Harris | 13.4% | 16.1% | 31.1% | 39.4% | 0.0% |
| Katie Harris | 13.4% | 16.1% | 31.1% | 39.4% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Aulthouse | 37.3% | 35.0% | 20.7% | 7.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Pavlos | 11.6% | 14.5% | 29.1% | 44.8% | 0.0% |
| James Morrissey | 37.7% | 34.4% | 19.1% | 8.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.