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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.53+4.54vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University1.99+3.03vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University-1.38+2.46vs Predicted
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4Florida Institute of Technology0.73+3.44vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida1.54+0.27vs Predicted
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6University of Maryland0.75+1.93vs Predicted
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7University of Texas0.41+5.40vs Predicted
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8University of North Texas1.77-3.53vs Predicted
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9University of Virginia-0.72+3.65vs Predicted
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10University of South Carolina0.63-1.63vs Predicted
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11Christopher Newport University0.83-2.87vs Predicted
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12Clemson University-0.17-1.71vs Predicted
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13Georgia Institute of Technology-0.43-0.43vs Predicted
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14The Citadel-0.97-0.17vs Predicted
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15University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.52-1.88vs Predicted
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16Embry-Riddle University-0.52-3.71vs Predicted
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17Duke University-0.57-4.53vs Predicted
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18University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.61-1.74vs Predicted
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19University of Georgia-1.97-2.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.54North Carolina State University1.5311.8%1st Place
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5.03North Carolina State University1.9912.6%1st Place
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5.46Jacksonville University-1.3810.8%1st Place
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7.44Florida Institute of Technology0.736.8%1st Place
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5.27University of South Florida1.5412.7%1st Place
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7.93University of Maryland0.755.0%1st Place
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12.4University of Texas0.411.1%1st Place
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4.47University of North Texas1.7716.9%1st Place
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12.65University of Virginia-0.721.4%1st Place
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8.37University of South Carolina0.635.1%1st Place
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8.13Christopher Newport University0.834.9%1st Place
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10.29Clemson University-0.172.6%1st Place
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12.57Georgia Institute of Technology-0.431.6%1st Place
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13.83The Citadel-0.971.4%1st Place
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13.12University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.521.2%1st Place
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12.29Embry-Riddle University-0.521.5%1st Place
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12.47Duke University-0.571.8%1st Place
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16.26University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.610.5%1st Place
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16.49University of Georgia-1.970.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Usher | 11.8% | 11.4% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Harris | 12.6% | 12.8% | 11.1% | 12.8% | 11.8% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Allen | 10.8% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Smucker | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Eden Nykamp | 12.7% | 11.4% | 11.9% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Bisson | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Karina Bertelsmann | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 9.0% | 5.6% | 2.4% |
| Dutch Byerly | 16.9% | 14.8% | 13.5% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lydia Sweeney | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 3.1% |
| Ian Street | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Daniel Hodges | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Samantha Bialek | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Kyle Meyhoefer | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 2.9% |
| Nicholas DeConto | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 14.2% | 12.6% | 8.1% |
| Zachary Vance | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 12.8% | 9.8% | 4.3% |
| Zechariah Frantz | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 2.9% |
| Natalie Aramendia | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 2.5% |
| Nevin Williams | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 20.6% | 34.8% |
| Katie Kellam | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 10.2% | 19.9% | 38.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.