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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Carolina1.18+3.15vs Predicted
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2University of Texas0.19+5.95vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College0.90+1.89vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University0.77+1.82vs Predicted
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5Christopher Newport University0.59+1.45vs Predicted
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6The Citadel-0.75+4.35vs Predicted
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7University of Virginia-0.72+3.11vs Predicted
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8Florida Institute of Technology-0.29-1.64vs Predicted
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9Clemson University-0.83+1.97vs Predicted
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10University of North Texas-1.12+2.11vs Predicted
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11University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.67+2.92vs Predicted
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12Duke University-1.79+1.98vs Predicted
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13North Carolina State University-0.10-4.90vs Predicted
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14Georgia Institute of Technology-0.73-3.15vs Predicted
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15Embry-Riddle University-1.54-1.69vs Predicted
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16University of Maryland-1.84-1.59vs Predicted
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17University of Georgia-1.76-3.00vs Predicted
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18Penn State Behrend-2.61-1.56vs Predicted
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19Jacksonville University0.66-13.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.15University of South Carolina1.1818.6%1st Place
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7.95University of Texas0.195.5%1st Place
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4.89Eckerd College0.9013.9%1st Place
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5.82North Carolina State University0.7710.9%1st Place
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6.45Christopher Newport University0.598.5%1st Place
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10.35The Citadel-0.753.3%1st Place
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10.11University of Virginia-0.723.3%1st Place
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6.36Florida Institute of Technology-0.298.4%1st Place
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10.97Clemson University-0.832.2%1st Place
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12.11University of North Texas-1.121.8%1st Place
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13.92University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.671.1%1st Place
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13.98Duke University-1.790.7%1st Place
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8.1North Carolina State University-0.105.5%1st Place
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10.85Georgia Institute of Technology-0.732.5%1st Place
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13.31Embry-Riddle University-1.541.0%1st Place
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14.41University of Maryland-1.840.9%1st Place
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14.0University of Georgia-1.761.0%1st Place
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16.44Penn State Behrend-2.610.4%1st Place
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5.85Jacksonville University0.6610.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Manley | 18.6% | 15.8% | 15.5% | 11.3% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Theresa McComiskey | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Griffin Richardson | 13.9% | 14.3% | 11.6% | 11.9% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Harrison Bailey | 10.9% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 7.7% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke Hayes | 8.5% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Malcolm McAlister | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Lydia Sweeney | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Brandon DePalma | 8.4% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Sickinger | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
| Jamie Weston | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 5.7% | 3.3% |
| Anika Pruim | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 13.1% | 12.9% | 9.9% |
| Jane Minchew | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 13.4% | 11.7% |
| Will Finch | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Tan Tonge | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 1.1% |
| Kathleen Perry | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 12.0% | 7.0% |
| Isaac Butz | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 12.4% | 14.8% | 13.8% |
| Jake Tipper | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 14.1% | 11.3% |
| Vaughan Hood | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 10.8% | 16.7% | 39.6% |
| Maartje van Dam | 10.4% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.